Recent model releases and agent benchmarks have kept sentiment tightly balanced, with Anthropic and OpenAI holding slight edges among named labs while “Other” sits at 50%. Claude’s multi-agent orchestration updates and OpenAI’s Astra/GPT-6 agentic tooling compete against Google’s Gemini computer-use previews and MCP integrations, yet open-weight leaders like DeepSeek and Atria Dawn post competitive scores on AutomationBench and terminal tasks. Traders weigh demonstrated tool-use reliability, multi-step workflow success, and ecosystem reach—such as coding sandboxes or smart-home control—against the risk of rapid capability shifts before November resolution. Safety collaborations among top labs add another variable without clarifying a frontrunner.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNvidia 26%
ByteDance 26%
Amazon 26%
Mistral 26%

Nvidia
26%

ByteDance
26%

Amazon
26%

Mistral
26%

Meituan
26%

Microsoft
26%

Baidu
25%

Z.ai
14%

SpaceXAI
14%

Meta
14%

Alibaba
14%

DeepSeek
14%

14%

MiniMax
14%

Moonshot
13%

Xiaomi
13%

Tencent
13%

Anthropic
48%

OpenAI
48%
Nvidia 26%
ByteDance 26%
Amazon 26%
Mistral 26%

Nvidia
26%

ByteDance
26%

Amazon
26%

Mistral
26%

Meituan
26%

Microsoft
26%

Baidu
25%

Z.ai
14%

SpaceXAI
14%

Meta
14%

Alibaba
14%

DeepSeek
14%

14%

MiniMax
14%

Moonshot
13%

Xiaomi
13%

Tencent
13%

Anthropic
48%

OpenAI
48%
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 17, 2026, 8:02 PM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Results from the "Rank" column under the "Agent Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the Agent Arena Leaderboard found at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent model releases and agent benchmarks have kept sentiment tightly balanced, with Anthropic and OpenAI holding slight edges among named labs while “Other” sits at 50%. Claude’s multi-agent orchestration updates and OpenAI’s Astra/GPT-6 agentic tooling compete against Google’s Gemini computer-use previews and MCP integrations, yet open-weight leaders like DeepSeek and Atria Dawn post competitive scores on AutomationBench and terminal tasks. Traders weigh demonstrated tool-use reliability, multi-step workflow success, and ecosystem reach—such as coding sandboxes or smart-home control—against the risk of rapid capability shifts before November resolution. Safety collaborations among top labs add another variable without clarifying a frontrunner.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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