The market reflects a tightly contested race for the top AI model by late November, with no single lab holding a decisive edge as traders weigh recent releases and benchmark performance. Anthropic, OpenAI, Google, and several Chinese developers including DeepSeek and ByteDance sit near the front, driven by differences in model scale, post-training techniques, and specialized capabilities such as reasoning depth or multimodal integration. Key swing factors include upcoming capability demonstrations, compute availability, and any regulatory shifts affecting model deployment. Historical patterns show leaderboards can shift quickly with a single high-performing release, underscoring the uncertainty traders price into the probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAnthropic 24%
Google 14%
OpenAI 14%
Mistral 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 30, 2026
Anthropic
24%
14%
OpenAI
14%
Mistral
14%
Amazon
14%
Meta
14%
Alibaba
14%
Baidu
14%
Xiaomi
14%
DeepSeek
14%
ByteDance
14%
Meituan
14%
Nvidia
14%
StepFun
14%
Moonshot
14%
SpaceXAI
14%
MiniMax
14%
Microsoft
14%
Z.ai
13%
Thinky
13%
Tencent
13%
Anthropic 24%
Google 14%
OpenAI 14%
Mistral 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 30, 2026
Anthropic
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
OpenAI
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
Mistral
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
Amazon
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
Meta
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
Alibaba
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
Baidu
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
Xiaomi
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
DeepSeek
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
ByteDance
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
Meituan
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
Nvidia
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
StepFun
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
Moonshot
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
SpaceXAI
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
MiniMax
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
Microsoft
$0 ปริมาณ
14%
Z.ai
$0 ปริมาณ
13%
Thinky
$0 ปริมาณ
13%
Tencent
$0 ปริมาณ
13%
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".The market reflects a tightly contested race for the top AI model by late November, with no single lab holding a decisive edge as traders weigh recent releases and benchmark performance. Anthropic, OpenAI, Google, and several Chinese developers including DeepSeek and ByteDance sit near the front, driven by differences in model scale, post-training techniques, and specialized capabilities such as reasoning depth or multimodal integration. Key swing factors include upcoming capability demonstrations, compute availability, and any regulatory shifts affecting model deployment. Historical patterns show leaderboards can shift quickly with a single high-performing release, underscoring the uncertainty traders price into the probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 17, 2026, 8:11 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 8:11 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".The market reflects a tightly contested race for the top AI model by late November, with no single lab holding a decisive edge as traders weigh recent releases and benchmark performance. Anthropic, OpenAI, Google, and several Chinese developers including DeepSeek and ByteDance sit near the front, driven by differences in model scale, post-training techniques, and specialized capabilities such as reasoning depth or multimodal integration. Key swing factors include upcoming capability demonstrations, compute availability, and any regulatory shifts affecting model deployment. Historical patterns show leaderboards can shift quickly with a single high-performing release, underscoring the uncertainty traders price into the probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 17, 2026, 8:11 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The market reflects a tightly contested race for the top AI model by late November, with no single lab holding a decisive edge as traders weigh recent releases and benchmark performance. Anthropic, OpenAI, Google, and several Chinese developers including DeepSeek and ByteDance sit near the front, driven by differences in model scale, post-training techniques, and specialized capabilities such as reasoning depth or multimodal integration. Key swing factors include upcoming capability demonstrations, compute availability, and any regulatory shifts affecting model deployment. Historical patterns show leaderboards can shift quickly with a single high-performing release, underscoring the uncertainty traders price into the probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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