Google's Veo 3.1 leads trader sentiment at 55% implied probability thanks to its October 2025 release and subsequent 2026 updates delivering synchronized native audio, stronger prompt adherence, photorealistic textures, and seamless integration with Gemini and YouTube tools. Close competition from Kling 3.0, Runway Gen-4.5, ByteDance Seedance 2.5, and Luma Ray3 creates the crowded field around 50% or lower, with each excelling in motion control, character consistency, or creative editing but lacking Google's broad ecosystem reach and benchmarked realism. Sora 2's API sunset and limited availability further weaken OpenAI's position. With resolution set for end of October, any new model drops or capability demos in the next weeks could shift the tightly matched lower-tier outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วGoogle 53%
Meta 28%
ByteDance 27%
Pika 26%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 31, 2026
53%
Meta
28%
ByteDance
27%
Pika
26%
Tencent
25%
KlingAI
24%
Pruna
23%
SpaceXAI
22%
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH
21%
Pixverse
21%
Lightricks
25%
Luma AI
5%
Runway
5%
Kandinsky
5%
MiniMax
21%
Genmo AI
22%
OpenAI
16%
Google 53%
Meta 28%
ByteDance 27%
Pika 26%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 31, 2026
$37 ปริมาณ
53%
Meta
$37 ปริมาณ
28%
ByteDance
$37 ปริมาณ
27%
Pika
$37 ปริมาณ
26%
Tencent
$37 ปริมาณ
25%
KlingAI
$37 ปริมาณ
24%
Pruna
$37 ปริมาณ
23%
SpaceXAI
$37 ปริมาณ
22%
Alibaba/Alibaba-ATH
$37 ปริมาณ
21%
Pixverse
$37 ปริมาณ
21%
Lightricks
$53 ปริมาณ
25%
Luma AI
$74 ปริมาณ
5%
Runway
$37 ปริมาณ
5%
Kandinsky
$51 ปริมาณ
5%
MiniMax
$57 ปริมาณ
21%
Genmo AI
$57 ปริมาณ
22%
OpenAI
$57 ปริมาณ
16%
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's Veo 3.1 leads trader sentiment at 55% implied probability thanks to its October 2025 release and subsequent 2026 updates delivering synchronized native audio, stronger prompt adherence, photorealistic textures, and seamless integration with Gemini and YouTube tools. Close competition from Kling 3.0, Runway Gen-4.5, ByteDance Seedance 2.5, and Luma Ray3 creates the crowded field around 50% or lower, with each excelling in motion control, character consistency, or creative editing but lacking Google's broad ecosystem reach and benchmarked realism. Sora 2's API sunset and limited availability further weaken OpenAI's position. With resolution set for end of October, any new model drops or capability demos in the next weeks could shift the tightly matched lower-tier outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 13, 2026, 5:14 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$756วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 5:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google's Veo 3.1 leads trader sentiment at 55% implied probability thanks to its October 2025 release and subsequent 2026 updates delivering synchronized native audio, stronger prompt adherence, photorealistic textures, and seamless integration with Gemini and YouTube tools. Close competition from Kling 3.0, Runway Gen-4.5, ByteDance Seedance 2.5, and Luma Ray3 creates the crowded field around 50% or lower, with each excelling in motion control, character consistency, or creative editing but lacking Google's broad ecosystem reach and benchmarked realism. Sora 2's API sunset and limited availability further weaken OpenAI's position. With resolution set for end of October, any new model drops or capability demos in the next weeks could shift the tightly matched lower-tier outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest rank based on the arena.ai Text-to-Video Leaderboard when the table under "Text-to-Video Arena" filtered for "Models" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text-to-Video Arena" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text-to-video filtered for "Models" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text-to-Video Arena Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$756วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 5:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Google's Veo 3.1 leads trader sentiment at 55% implied probability thanks to its October 2025 release and subsequent 2026 updates delivering synchronized native audio, stronger prompt adherence, photorealistic textures, and seamless integration with Gemini and YouTube tools. Close competition from Kling 3.0, Runway Gen-4.5, ByteDance Seedance 2.5, and Luma Ray3 creates the crowded field around 50% or lower, with each excelling in motion control, character consistency, or creative editing but lacking Google's broad ecosystem reach and benchmarked realism. Sora 2's API sunset and limited availability further weaken OpenAI's position. With resolution set for end of October, any new model drops or capability demos in the next weeks could shift the tightly matched lower-tier outcomes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
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