Anthropic’s September 1, 2026 launch of Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 has driven the current trader consensus, with Fable 5.1 posting the leading 65% score on the Humanity’s Last Exam (HLE) leaderboard as of the September 8 update. These frontier large language models leverage advanced reasoning, adaptive thinking, and tool use across the 2,500-question expert benchmark spanning mathematics, sciences, and humanities. Earlier 2026 releases including Opus 5 and Fable 5 established Anthropic’s dominance, outpacing OpenAI’s GPT-5 variants and Meta’s Muse Spark on verified HLE results. With roughly four months remaining before year-end resolution, further gains depend on additional model iterations or refined evaluation configurations before saturation sets in for this challenging benchmark.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$96,877 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
55%+
90%
60%+
53%
65%+
20%
70%+
7%
75%+
4%
$96,877 ปริมาณ
55%+
$21,814 ปริมาณ
90%
60%+
$42,118 ปริมาณ
53%
65%+
$27,770 ปริมาณ
20%
70%+
$3,870 ปริมาณ
7%
75%+
$1,306 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s September 1, 2026 launch of Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 has driven the current trader consensus, with Fable 5.1 posting the leading 65% score on the Humanity’s Last Exam (HLE) leaderboard as of the September 8 update. These frontier large language models leverage advanced reasoning, adaptive thinking, and tool use across the 2,500-question expert benchmark spanning mathematics, sciences, and humanities. Earlier 2026 releases including Opus 5 and Fable 5 established Anthropic’s dominance, outpacing OpenAI’s GPT-5 variants and Meta’s Muse Spark on verified HLE results. With roughly four months remaining before year-end resolution, further gains depend on additional model iterations or refined evaluation configurations before saturation sets in for this challenging benchmark.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$96,877วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://agi.safe.ai/ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s September 1, 2026 launch of Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 has driven the current trader consensus, with Fable 5.1 posting the leading 65% score on the Humanity’s Last Exam (HLE) leaderboard as of the September 8 update. These frontier large language models leverage advanced reasoning, adaptive thinking, and tool use across the 2,500-question expert benchmark spanning mathematics, sciences, and humanities. Earlier 2026 releases including Opus 5 and Fable 5 established Anthropic’s dominance, outpacing OpenAI’s GPT-5 variants and Meta’s Muse Spark on verified HLE results. With roughly four months remaining before year-end resolution, further gains depend on additional model iterations or refined evaluation configurations before saturation sets in for this challenging benchmark.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$96,877วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://agi.safe.ai/ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s September 1, 2026 launch of Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5.1 has driven the current trader consensus, with Fable 5.1 posting the leading 65% score on the Humanity’s Last Exam (HLE) leaderboard as of the September 8 update. These frontier large language models leverage advanced reasoning, adaptive thinking, and tool use across the 2,500-question expert benchmark spanning mathematics, sciences, and humanities. Earlier 2026 releases including Opus 5 and Fable 5 established Anthropic’s dominance, outpacing OpenAI’s GPT-5 variants and Meta’s Muse Spark on verified HLE results. With roughly four months remaining before year-end resolution, further gains depend on additional model iterations or refined evaluation configurations before saturation sets in for this challenging benchmark.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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