Traders assign a 97.4% probability against Donald Trump appearing on a new $250 bill in 2026 because current federal law limits currency portraits to deceased individuals, requiring congressional passage of legislation such as the Donald J. Trump $250 Bill Act introduced in February 2025. The measure remains stalled without floor votes or broad bipartisan support despite Treasury preparations and design mock-ups tied to the semiquincentennial. Production, distribution, and legal changes would demand additional months even if enacted, leaving little time before year-end. Late-session passage or emergency executive measures represent the narrow paths that could still shift the outcome before December 31.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว3% โอกาส
$28,543 ปริมาณ
$28,543 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
3% โอกาส
$28,543 ปริมาณ
$28,543 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Traders assign a 97.4% probability against Donald Trump appearing on a new $250 bill in 2026 because current federal law limits currency portraits to deceased individuals, requiring congressional passage of legislation such as the Donald J. Trump $250 Bill Act introduced in February 2025. The measure remains stalled without floor votes or broad bipartisan support despite Treasury preparations and design mock-ups tied to the semiquincentennial. Production, distribution, and legal changes would demand additional months even if enacted, leaving little time before year-end. Late-session passage or emergency executive measures represent the narrow paths that could still shift the outcome before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 28, 2026, 3:38 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$28,543วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 28, 2026, 3:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Traders assign a 97.4% probability against Donald Trump appearing on a new $250 bill in 2026 because current federal law limits currency portraits to deceased individuals, requiring congressional passage of legislation such as the Donald J. Trump $250 Bill Act introduced in February 2025. The measure remains stalled without floor votes or broad bipartisan support despite Treasury preparations and design mock-ups tied to the semiquincentennial. Production, distribution, and legal changes would demand additional months even if enacted, leaving little time before year-end. Late-session passage or emergency executive measures represent the narrow paths that could still shift the outcome before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a $250 bill featuring an image or portrait of Donald Trump is officially issued by the U.S. federal government by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only a $250 bill will qualify. Coins, or other denominations of paper currency will not count.
A bill will be considered "officially issued" if the U.S. federal government makes it available for any form of public purchase, order, or distribution. The announcement, proposal, design, or authorization of such a bill without the bill being issued will not count.
A qualifying bill must be legal tender. Commemorative notes produced for a limited production run will qualify, provided they carry legal tender status.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$28,543วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 28, 2026, 3:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 97.4% probability against Donald Trump appearing on a new $250 bill in 2026 because current federal law limits currency portraits to deceased individuals, requiring congressional passage of legislation such as the Donald J. Trump $250 Bill Act introduced in February 2025. The measure remains stalled without floor votes or broad bipartisan support despite Treasury preparations and design mock-ups tied to the semiquincentennial. Production, distribution, and legal changes would demand additional months even if enacted, leaving little time before year-end. Late-session passage or emergency executive measures represent the narrow paths that could still shift the outcome before December 31.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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