Trump's second term, which began in January 2025 and runs through 2029, shows no signs of early departure as of mid-2026. Historical precedent reinforces trader consensus, with only one U.S. president having resigned since the nation's founding, and no comparable developments such as health crises, successful impeachment proceedings, or cabinet-level pressures have emerged to shift the outlook. Trump's public statements emphasize completing his full term, while administration turnover has remained confined to lower-level officials. Midterm elections in November 2026 could alter congressional dynamics, yet they fall short of the structural thresholds needed to force resignation. Late-stage scenarios including sudden medical incapacity, unforeseen legal reversals, or acute political isolation remain the primary variables that could still adjust probabilities before year-end 2026.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใช่
3% โอกาส
$527,781 ปริมาณ
$527,781 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
ใช่
3% โอกาส
$527,781 ปริมาณ
$527,781 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump's second term, which began in January 2025 and runs through 2029, shows no signs of early departure as of mid-2026. Historical precedent reinforces trader consensus, with only one U.S. president having resigned since the nation's founding, and no comparable developments such as health crises, successful impeachment proceedings, or cabinet-level pressures have emerged to shift the outlook. Trump's public statements emphasize completing his full term, while administration turnover has remained confined to lower-level officials. Midterm elections in November 2026 could alter congressional dynamics, yet they fall short of the structural thresholds needed to force resignation. Late-stage scenarios including sudden medical incapacity, unforeseen legal reversals, or acute political isolation remain the primary variables that could still adjust probabilities before year-end 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$527,781วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump's second term, which began in January 2025 and runs through 2029, shows no signs of early departure as of mid-2026. Historical precedent reinforces trader consensus, with only one U.S. president having resigned since the nation's founding, and no comparable developments such as health crises, successful impeachment proceedings, or cabinet-level pressures have emerged to shift the outlook. Trump's public statements emphasize completing his full term, while administration turnover has remained confined to lower-level officials. Midterm elections in November 2026 could alter congressional dynamics, yet they fall short of the structural thresholds needed to force resignation. Late-stage scenarios including sudden medical incapacity, unforeseen legal reversals, or acute political isolation remain the primary variables that could still adjust probabilities before year-end 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$527,781วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Trump's second term, which began in January 2025 and runs through 2029, shows no signs of early departure as of mid-2026. Historical precedent reinforces trader consensus, with only one U.S. president having resigned since the nation's founding, and no comparable developments such as health crises, successful impeachment proceedings, or cabinet-level pressures have emerged to shift the outlook. Trump's public statements emphasize completing his full term, while administration turnover has remained confined to lower-level officials. Midterm elections in November 2026 could alter congressional dynamics, yet they fall short of the structural thresholds needed to force resignation. Late-stage scenarios including sudden medical incapacity, unforeseen legal reversals, or acute political isolation remain the primary variables that could still adjust probabilities before year-end 2026.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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