Iranian officials have repeatedly rejected any permanent halt to uranium enrichment, describing it as a core national right during 2025–2026 talks with the United States. In April 2026 negotiations, Washington proposed a minimum 20-year moratorium while Tehran offered only shorter temporary pauses and down-blending of its 60% enriched stockpile under IAEA monitoring, without export or full dismantlement. Supreme Leader directives have reinforced that enriched material must remain inside Iran, creating a deadlock that persists despite a June 2026 memorandum of understanding. These positions, combined with ongoing verification disputes and facility damage from prior strikes, have shaped trader consensus that an agreement to end enrichment by year-end remains unlikely.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว11% โอกาส
$1,632,617 ปริมาณ
$1,632,617 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
11% โอกาส
$1,632,617 ปริมาณ
$1,632,617 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Iranian officials have repeatedly rejected any permanent halt to uranium enrichment, describing it as a core national right during 2025–2026 talks with the United States. In April 2026 negotiations, Washington proposed a minimum 20-year moratorium while Tehran offered only shorter temporary pauses and down-blending of its 60% enriched stockpile under IAEA monitoring, without export or full dismantlement. Supreme Leader directives have reinforced that enriched material must remain inside Iran, creating a deadlock that persists despite a June 2026 memorandum of understanding. These positions, combined with ongoing verification disputes and facility damage from prior strikes, have shaped trader consensus that an agreement to end enrichment by year-end remains unlikely.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,632,617วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Iranian officials have repeatedly rejected any permanent halt to uranium enrichment, describing it as a core national right during 2025–2026 talks with the United States. In April 2026 negotiations, Washington proposed a minimum 20-year moratorium while Tehran offered only shorter temporary pauses and down-blending of its 60% enriched stockpile under IAEA monitoring, without export or full dismantlement. Supreme Leader directives have reinforced that enriched material must remain inside Iran, creating a deadlock that persists despite a June 2026 memorandum of understanding. These positions, combined with ongoing verification disputes and facility damage from prior strikes, have shaped trader consensus that an agreement to end enrichment by year-end remains unlikely.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of Uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,632,617วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Mar 31, 2026, 4:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iranian officials have repeatedly rejected any permanent halt to uranium enrichment, describing it as a core national right during 2025–2026 talks with the United States. In April 2026 negotiations, Washington proposed a minimum 20-year moratorium while Tehran offered only shorter temporary pauses and down-blending of its 60% enriched stockpile under IAEA monitoring, without export or full dismantlement. Supreme Leader directives have reinforced that enriched material must remain inside Iran, creating a deadlock that persists despite a June 2026 memorandum of understanding. These positions, combined with ongoing verification disputes and facility damage from prior strikes, have shaped trader consensus that an agreement to end enrichment by year-end remains unlikely.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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