The absence of any active impeachment proceedings or resignation signals under the current congressional majorities sustains near-certain trader expectations that Donald Trump will remain in office through August 31. Constitutional removal requires House approval of articles followed by a two-thirds Senate conviction, a timeline that has historically extended well beyond one month even in prior cases, while recent resolutions introduced in late 2025 were quickly tabled without advancement. With the 2026 midterms still months away, no shift in chamber control or new legislative catalysts has materialized to accelerate pressure on the incumbent. Although a sudden health event, invocation of the 25th Amendment, or unforeseen scandal could theoretically alter trajectories, these remain low-probability developments unlikely to resolve within the narrow window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The absence of any active impeachment proceedings or resignation signals under the current congressional majorities sustains near-certain trader expectations that Donald Trump will remain in office through August 31. Constitutional removal requires House approval of articles followed by a two-thirds Senate conviction, a timeline that has historically extended well beyond one month even in prior cases, while recent resolutions introduced in late 2025 were quickly tabled without advancement. With the 2026 midterms still months away, no shift in chamber control or new legislative catalysts has materialized to accelerate pressure on the incumbent. Although a sudden health event, invocation of the 25th Amendment, or unforeseen scandal could theoretically alter trajectories, these remain low-probability developments unlikely to resolve within the narrow window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 30, 2026, 5:24 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,809วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 30, 2026, 5:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The absence of any active impeachment proceedings or resignation signals under the current congressional majorities sustains near-certain trader expectations that Donald Trump will remain in office through August 31. Constitutional removal requires House approval of articles followed by a two-thirds Senate conviction, a timeline that has historically extended well beyond one month even in prior cases, while recent resolutions introduced in late 2025 were quickly tabled without advancement. With the 2026 midterms still months away, no shift in chamber control or new legislative catalysts has materialized to accelerate pressure on the incumbent. Although a sudden health event, invocation of the 25th Amendment, or unforeseen scandal could theoretically alter trajectories, these remain low-probability developments unlikely to resolve within the narrow window.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump resigns or is removed as President or otherwise ceases to be the President of the United States for any period of time by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,809วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 30, 2026, 5:24 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The absence of any active impeachment proceedings or resignation signals under the current congressional majorities sustains near-certain trader expectations that Donald Trump will remain in office through August 31. Constitutional removal requires House approval of articles followed by a two-thirds Senate conviction, a timeline that has historically extended well beyond one month even in prior cases, while recent resolutions introduced in late 2025 were quickly tabled without advancement. With the 2026 midterms still months away, no shift in chamber control or new legislative catalysts has materialized to accelerate pressure on the incumbent. Although a sudden health event, invocation of the 25th Amendment, or unforeseen scandal could theoretically alter trajectories, these remain low-probability developments unlikely to resolve within the narrow window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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