US military forces captured Nicolás Maduro in a January 2026 operation, prompting Delcy Rodríguez to assume the interim presidency under Supreme Tribunal order amid cabinet and military adjustments. Regime continuity under Chavista structures, combined with Trump administration diplomatic reengagement, oil-sector talks, and recognition of Rodríguez, has limited opposition gains despite calls from María Corina Machado and Edmundo González for 2024 election validation and prisoner releases. Trader consensus at 82.3% for Maduro reflects institutional persistence and slow transition timelines, with Rodríguez at 9.5% as the main continuity alternative and lower probabilities assigned to full opposition shifts before year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วผู้นำเวเนซุเอลาสิ้นสุดปี 2026?
ผู้นำเวเนซุเอลาสิ้นสุดปี 2026?
นิโคลัส มาดูโร 82.3%
เดลซี โรดริเกซ 9%
มาเรีย โครีนา มาชาโด 2.6%
ไม่มีประมุขแห่งรัฐ 1.0%
$95,608,401 ปริมาณ
$95,608,401 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
นิโคลัส มาดูโร
82%
เดลซี โรดริเกซ
9%
มาเรีย โครีนา มาชาโด
3%
ไม่มีประมุขแห่งรัฐ
1%
เอ็ดมันโด กอนซาเลซ
<1%
ดิโอสดาโด คาเบโญ่ รอนดอน
<1%
วลาดิเมียร์ ปาดริโน โลเปซ
<1%
ฆอร์เก้ โรดริเกซ
<1%
Dinorah Figuera
<1%
อีวาน เพตัส
<1%
โดนัลด์ ทรัมป์
<1%
มาร์โก รูบิโอ
<1%
ปีเตอร์ เฮกเซธ
<1%
แฟรงค์ โดโนแวน
<1%
แดน เคน
<1%
ริชาร์ด เกรเนลล์
<1%
นิโคลัส มาดูโร 82.3%
เดลซี โรดริเกซ 9%
มาเรีย โครีนา มาชาโด 2.6%
ไม่มีประมุขแห่งรัฐ 1.0%
$95,608,401 ปริมาณ
$95,608,401 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
นิโคลัส มาดูโร
$2,749,767 ปริมาณ
82%
เดลซี โรดริเกซ
$1,765,774 ปริมาณ
9%
มาเรีย โครีนา มาชาโด
$1,443,280 ปริมาณ
3%
ไม่มีประมุขแห่งรัฐ
$1,514,648 ปริมาณ
1%
เอ็ดมันโด กอนซาเลซ
$1,213,312 ปริมาณ
<1%
ดิโอสดาโด คาเบโญ่ รอนดอน
$2,088,346 ปริมาณ
<1%
วลาดิเมียร์ ปาดริโน โลเปซ
$816,474 ปริมาณ
<1%
ฆอร์เก้ โรดริเกซ
$1,163,244 ปริมาณ
<1%
Dinorah Figuera
$2,974,393 ปริมาณ
<1%
อีวาน เพตัส
$5,633,185 ปริมาณ
<1%
โดนัลด์ ทรัมป์
$1,121,554 ปริมาณ
<1%
มาร์โก รูบิโอ
$1,397,687 ปริมาณ
<1%
ปีเตอร์ เฮกเซธ
$9,174,686 ปริมาณ
<1%
แฟรงค์ โดโนแวน
$25,800,829 ปริมาณ
<1%
แดน เคน
$4,113,079 ปริมาณ
<1%
ริชาร์ด เกรเนลล์
$32,638,258 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
US military forces captured Nicolás Maduro in a January 2026 operation, prompting Delcy Rodríguez to assume the interim presidency under Supreme Tribunal order amid cabinet and military adjustments. Regime continuity under Chavista structures, combined with Trump administration diplomatic reengagement, oil-sector talks, and recognition of Rodríguez, has limited opposition gains despite calls from María Corina Machado and Edmundo González for 2024 election validation and prisoner releases. Trader consensus at 82.3% for Maduro reflects institutional persistence and slow transition timelines, with Rodríguez at 9.5% as the main continuity alternative and lower probabilities assigned to full opposition shifts before year-end.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$95,608,401วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
US military forces captured Nicolás Maduro in a January 2026 operation, prompting Delcy Rodríguez to assume the interim presidency under Supreme Tribunal order amid cabinet and military adjustments. Regime continuity under Chavista structures, combined with Trump administration diplomatic reengagement, oil-sector talks, and recognition of Rodríguez, has limited opposition gains despite calls from María Corina Machado and Edmundo González for 2024 election validation and prisoner releases. Trader consensus at 82.3% for Maduro reflects institutional persistence and slow transition timelines, with Rodríguez at 9.5% as the main continuity alternative and lower probabilities assigned to full opposition shifts before year-end.
This market will resolve to the individual who officially holds the position of the head of state of Venezuela on Dec 31, 2026 at 12 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
For the purposes of this market, "officially holds" refers to the individual that was formally appointed, confirmed (if confirmation is required), and sworn in as the head of state of Venezuela or otherwise confirmed by official government information as being the head of state of Venezuela.
If the Venezuelan government does not clearly state who is the head of state, the market will resolve to the individual who is listed as the Head of State by the UN (see: https://www.un.org/dgacm/en/content/protocol/hshgnfa).
In the event that more than one official head of state is listed by the Venezuelan government, this market will resolve to the individual who is listed as having primary status. If no distinction is made, the market will resolve to the individual who first assumed the position.
If no individual holds the position this market will resolve to “No Head of State”.
The following do NOT constitute "officially holding" the role: nominated, announced, or designated as the head of state of Venezuela but appointment not yet effective; appointed with an effective date after Dec 31, 2026; previously served as the head of state of Venezuela but term has expired, resigned, or been terminated before Dec 31, 2026; serving as the head of state of Venezuela in a consultant, contractor, or unofficial capacity; named as successor or heir apparent to the head of state of Venezuela but not yet appointed; or holding a different role with oversight of the head of state of Venezuela but not the specified position itself.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the UN recognized government of Venezuela. If the Government of Venezuela does not clearly state who is the head of state, information from the UN and a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Note: this market is mutually exclusive.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$95,608,401วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 4, 2026, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...US military forces captured Nicolás Maduro in a January 2026 operation, prompting Delcy Rodríguez to assume the interim presidency under Supreme Tribunal order amid cabinet and military adjustments. Regime continuity under Chavista structures, combined with Trump administration diplomatic reengagement, oil-sector talks, and recognition of Rodríguez, has limited opposition gains despite calls from María Corina Machado and Edmundo González for 2024 election validation and prisoner releases. Trader consensus at 82.3% for Maduro reflects institutional persistence and slow transition timelines, with Rodríguez at 9.5% as the main continuity alternative and lower probabilities assigned to full opposition shifts before year-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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