U.S. policy has prioritized stability under acting President Delcy Rodríguez since the January 2026 capture of Nicolás Maduro, with the Trump administration establishing diplomatic ties, easing sanctions, and advancing energy cooperation. President Trump has publicly stated that María Corina Machado lacks sufficient domestic support or respect to lead, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio has described a phased stabilization process excluding her immediate elevation. Ongoing U.S.-backed negotiations proceed without Machado’s participation, as she has declined involvement, and no presidential elections or formal leadership transition recognizing her have been scheduled. These factors sustain the near-certain trader view against recognition by December 31, 2026. Shifts could still occur if Rodríguez faces internal collapse, major unrest forces accelerated elections, or Washington alters its approach amid humanitarian or oil-market pressures.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วU.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?
4% โอกาส
$179,084 ปริมาณ
$179,084 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
4% โอกาส
$179,084 ปริมาณ
$179,084 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.U.S. policy has prioritized stability under acting President Delcy Rodríguez since the January 2026 capture of Nicolás Maduro, with the Trump administration establishing diplomatic ties, easing sanctions, and advancing energy cooperation. President Trump has publicly stated that María Corina Machado lacks sufficient domestic support or respect to lead, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio has described a phased stabilization process excluding her immediate elevation. Ongoing U.S.-backed negotiations proceed without Machado’s participation, as she has declined involvement, and no presidential elections or formal leadership transition recognizing her have been scheduled. These factors sustain the near-certain trader view against recognition by December 31, 2026. Shifts could still occur if Rodríguez faces internal collapse, major unrest forces accelerated elections, or Washington alters its approach amid humanitarian or oil-market pressures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$179,084วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.U.S. policy has prioritized stability under acting President Delcy Rodríguez since the January 2026 capture of Nicolás Maduro, with the Trump administration establishing diplomatic ties, easing sanctions, and advancing energy cooperation. President Trump has publicly stated that María Corina Machado lacks sufficient domestic support or respect to lead, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio has described a phased stabilization process excluding her immediate elevation. Ongoing U.S.-backed negotiations proceed without Machado’s participation, as she has declined involvement, and no presidential elections or formal leadership transition recognizing her have been scheduled. These factors sustain the near-certain trader view against recognition by December 31, 2026. Shifts could still occur if Rodríguez faces internal collapse, major unrest forces accelerated elections, or Washington alters its approach amid humanitarian or oil-market pressures.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela.
A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$179,084วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 30, 2026, 7:21 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...U.S. policy has prioritized stability under acting President Delcy Rodríguez since the January 2026 capture of Nicolás Maduro, with the Trump administration establishing diplomatic ties, easing sanctions, and advancing energy cooperation. President Trump has publicly stated that María Corina Machado lacks sufficient domestic support or respect to lead, while Secretary of State Marco Rubio has described a phased stabilization process excluding her immediate elevation. Ongoing U.S.-backed negotiations proceed without Machado’s participation, as she has declined involvement, and no presidential elections or formal leadership transition recognizing her have been scheduled. These factors sustain the near-certain trader view against recognition by December 31, 2026. Shifts could still occur if Rodríguez faces internal collapse, major unrest forces accelerated elections, or Washington alters its approach amid humanitarian or oil-market pressures.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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