Recent polling averages position the Social Democrats first and Sweden Democrats second, placing the Moderate Party on track for third in the September 13 vote, which underpins the current trader consensus. The governing Tidö arrangement of Moderates, Christian Democrats, and Liberals backed by the Sweden Democrats has seen its bloc trail the opposition red-green parties by double digits in multiple August surveys from Novus, Verian, and Demoskop. Moderate support has remained range-bound near 17 percent while Sweden Democrats hold a narrow edge around 19-20 percent, limiting crossover potential in the final weeks. Coalition dynamics and voter fatigue with the current administration reinforce the positional outlook without evidence of late momentum shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วSweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Sweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Moderate Party (M) 75%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 23%
Green Party (MP) <1%
Left Party (V) <1%
$49,712 ปริมาณ
$49,712 ปริมาณ
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
<1%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
23%
Moderate Party (M)
75%
Centre Party (C)
<1%
Left Party (V)
1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
<1%
Green Party (MP)
1%
Liberals (L)
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
Moderate Party (M) 75%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 23%
Green Party (MP) <1%
Left Party (V) <1%
$49,712 ปริมาณ
$49,712 ปริมาณ
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
<1%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
23%
Moderate Party (M)
75%
Centre Party (C)
<1%
Left Party (V)
1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
<1%
Green Party (MP)
1%
Liberals (L)
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages position the Social Democrats first and Sweden Democrats second, placing the Moderate Party on track for third in the September 13 vote, which underpins the current trader consensus. The governing Tidö arrangement of Moderates, Christian Democrats, and Liberals backed by the Sweden Democrats has seen its bloc trail the opposition red-green parties by double digits in multiple August surveys from Novus, Verian, and Demoskop. Moderate support has remained range-bound near 17 percent while Sweden Democrats hold a narrow edge around 19-20 percent, limiting crossover potential in the final weeks. Coalition dynamics and voter fatigue with the current administration reinforce the positional outlook without evidence of late momentum shifts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วที่เกี่ยวข้อง
Will the Left Party (V) win the fourth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
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