Recent polling averages place Die Linke steady near 13 percent ahead of the September 6, 2026 Landtagswahl, supported by consistent results across INSA, Infratest dimap, and pollytix surveys from July and August. This positioning reflects the party’s established eastern base and limited volatility compared with smaller competitors near the five-percent threshold. Traders assess the narrow spread between the 9-12 percent and 12-15 percent bins as driven by typical survey margins, turnout uncertainty, and late shifts in preference among left-leaning voters. Key variables that could widen the outcome include final-week mobilization by Spitzenkandidatin Eva von Angern, any movement in AfD or CDU support that alters protest or tactical voting, and residual competition from the SPD, Greens, and BSW.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วSachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Linke Vote Share?
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: Linke Vote Share?
9-12% 47%
12-15% 41%
15%+ 6%
<9% 4.3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 6, 2026
<9%
4%
9-12%
47%
12-15%
41%
15%+
6%
9-12% 47%
12-15% 41%
15%+ 6%
<9% 4.3%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 6, 2026
<9%
$94 ปริมาณ
4%
9-12%
$387 ปริมาณ
47%
12-15%
$178 ปริมาณ
41%
15%+
$98 ปริมาณ
6%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polling averages place Die Linke steady near 13 percent ahead of the September 6, 2026 Landtagswahl, supported by consistent results across INSA, Infratest dimap, and pollytix surveys from July and August. This positioning reflects the party’s established eastern base and limited volatility compared with smaller competitors near the five-percent threshold. Traders assess the narrow spread between the 9-12 percent and 12-15 percent bins as driven by typical survey margins, turnout uncertainty, and late shifts in preference among left-leaning voters. Key variables that could widen the outcome include final-week mobilization by Spitzenkandidatin Eva von Angern, any movement in AfD or CDU support that alters protest or tactical voting, and residual competition from the SPD, Greens, and BSW.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 20, 2026, 2:28 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$757วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 2:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polling averages place Die Linke steady near 13 percent ahead of the September 6, 2026 Landtagswahl, supported by consistent results across INSA, Infratest dimap, and pollytix surveys from July and August. This positioning reflects the party’s established eastern base and limited volatility compared with smaller competitors near the five-percent threshold. Traders assess the narrow spread between the 9-12 percent and 12-15 percent bins as driven by typical survey margins, turnout uncertainty, and late shifts in preference among left-leaning voters. Key variables that could widen the outcome include final-week mobilization by Spitzenkandidatin Eva von Angern, any movement in AfD or CDU support that alters protest or tactical voting, and residual competition from the SPD, Greens, and BSW.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by Linke in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$757วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 2:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place Die Linke steady near 13 percent ahead of the September 6, 2026 Landtagswahl, supported by consistent results across INSA, Infratest dimap, and pollytix surveys from July and August. This positioning reflects the party’s established eastern base and limited volatility compared with smaller competitors near the five-percent threshold. Traders assess the narrow spread between the 9-12 percent and 12-15 percent bins as driven by typical survey margins, turnout uncertainty, and late shifts in preference among left-leaning voters. Key variables that could widen the outcome include final-week mobilization by Spitzenkandidatin Eva von Angern, any movement in AfD or CDU support that alters protest or tactical voting, and residual competition from the SPD, Greens, and BSW.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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