Anthropic’s Claude Haiku 4.5, launched October 15, 2025, remains the active low-cost model as of early September 2026, with no successor announced despite frontier releases including Sonnet 5, Opus 5, and Fable 5.1. Traders note Anthropic’s typical pattern of following major Opus or Sonnet updates with a faster, cheaper Haiku variant that supports extended thinking and computer use, yet the company skipped Haiku iterations tied to February and June 2026 model drops. This gap, combined with Haiku 4.5’s scheduled support through at least mid-October 2026 and absence of credible leaks or API deprecation notices, shapes market-implied odds favoring a release by year-end while leaving room for slippage tied to competitive positioning against other large language model providers or internal safety reviews.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNext Claude Haiku released by...?
Next Claude Haiku released by...?
ใหม่
Oct 15, 2026
October 15
44%
October 31
60%
December 31
53%
$8,986 ปริมาณ
October 15
$0 ปริมาณ
44%
October 31
$905 ปริมาณ
60%
December 31
$4,330 ปริมาณ
53%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s Claude Haiku 4.5, launched October 15, 2025, remains the active low-cost model as of early September 2026, with no successor announced despite frontier releases including Sonnet 5, Opus 5, and Fable 5.1. Traders note Anthropic’s typical pattern of following major Opus or Sonnet updates with a faster, cheaper Haiku variant that supports extended thinking and computer use, yet the company skipped Haiku iterations tied to February and June 2026 model drops. This gap, combined with Haiku 4.5’s scheduled support through at least mid-October 2026 and absence of credible leaks or API deprecation notices, shapes market-implied odds favoring a release by year-end while leaving room for slippage tied to competitive positioning against other large language model providers or internal safety reviews.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 3, 2026, 9:07 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,986วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 3, 2026, 9:07 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s Claude Haiku 4.5, launched October 15, 2025, remains the active low-cost model as of early September 2026, with no successor announced despite frontier releases including Sonnet 5, Opus 5, and Fable 5.1. Traders note Anthropic’s typical pattern of following major Opus or Sonnet updates with a faster, cheaper Haiku variant that supports extended thinking and computer use, yet the company skipped Haiku iterations tied to February and June 2026 model drops. This gap, combined with Haiku 4.5’s scheduled support through at least mid-October 2026 and absence of credible leaks or API deprecation notices, shapes market-implied odds favoring a release by year-end while leaving room for slippage tied to competitive positioning against other large language model providers or internal safety reviews.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Claude Haiku refers to a model by Anthropic explicitly named Haiku. Qualifying models include Claude Haiku 4.6, Claude Haiku 5.0, Haiku 5, or any other Haiku variants. Models under any other name, such as Sonnet, Opus, Fable, or Mythos, will not qualify, unless the model is explicitly and officially named Haiku by Anthropic.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$8,986วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 3, 2026, 9:07 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Anthropic’s Claude Haiku 4.5, launched October 15, 2025, remains the active low-cost model as of early September 2026, with no successor announced despite frontier releases including Sonnet 5, Opus 5, and Fable 5.1. Traders note Anthropic’s typical pattern of following major Opus or Sonnet updates with a faster, cheaper Haiku variant that supports extended thinking and computer use, yet the company skipped Haiku iterations tied to February and June 2026 model drops. This gap, combined with Haiku 4.5’s scheduled support through at least mid-October 2026 and absence of credible leaks or API deprecation notices, shapes market-implied odds favoring a release by year-end while leaving room for slippage tied to competitive positioning against other large language model providers or internal safety reviews.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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