Javier Milei's strengthened position in Congress following his La Libertad Avanza party's decisive gains in the October 2025 midterm legislative elections has anchored trader expectations that he will complete his term. These results expanded his bloc's ability to advance fiscal austerity, tax and labor reforms, and veto overrides while maintaining a fiscal surplus and sharply lower inflation compared to 2023 levels. With no active impeachment proceedings, sustained opposition fragmentation ahead of the 2027 presidential vote, and no constitutional triggers for early removal under Argentine rules, the near-certain consensus reflects the absence of immediate institutional or political pathways to oust him before December 2027. Realistic shifts could still arise from a sharp deterioration in economic conditions, a major corruption scandal fracturing his coalition, or unforeseen health issues, though recent polling and legislative momentum continue to favor continuity through the remainder of the term.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMilei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
5% โอกาส
$165,009 ปริมาณ
$165,009 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
5% โอกาส
$165,009 ปริมาณ
$165,009 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Javier Milei ceases to be the President of Argentina for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Javier Milei's strengthened position in Congress following his La Libertad Avanza party's decisive gains in the October 2025 midterm legislative elections has anchored trader expectations that he will complete his term. These results expanded his bloc's ability to advance fiscal austerity, tax and labor reforms, and veto overrides while maintaining a fiscal surplus and sharply lower inflation compared to 2023 levels. With no active impeachment proceedings, sustained opposition fragmentation ahead of the 2027 presidential vote, and no constitutional triggers for early removal under Argentine rules, the near-certain consensus reflects the absence of immediate institutional or political pathways to oust him before December 2027. Realistic shifts could still arise from a sharp deterioration in economic conditions, a major corruption scandal fracturing his coalition, or unforeseen health issues, though recent polling and legislative momentum continue to favor continuity through the remainder of the term.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Javier Milei ceases to be the President of Argentina for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 5, 2025, 1:08 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$165,009วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 1:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Javier Milei ceases to be the President of Argentina for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.Javier Milei's strengthened position in Congress following his La Libertad Avanza party's decisive gains in the October 2025 midterm legislative elections has anchored trader expectations that he will complete his term. These results expanded his bloc's ability to advance fiscal austerity, tax and labor reforms, and veto overrides while maintaining a fiscal surplus and sharply lower inflation compared to 2023 levels. With no active impeachment proceedings, sustained opposition fragmentation ahead of the 2027 presidential vote, and no constitutional triggers for early removal under Argentine rules, the near-certain consensus reflects the absence of immediate institutional or political pathways to oust him before December 2027. Realistic shifts could still arise from a sharp deterioration in economic conditions, a major corruption scandal fracturing his coalition, or unforeseen health issues, though recent polling and legislative momentum continue to favor continuity through the remainder of the term.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Javier Milei ceases to be the President of Argentina for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$165,009วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 1:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Javier Milei's strengthened position in Congress following his La Libertad Avanza party's decisive gains in the October 2025 midterm legislative elections has anchored trader expectations that he will complete his term. These results expanded his bloc's ability to advance fiscal austerity, tax and labor reforms, and veto overrides while maintaining a fiscal surplus and sharply lower inflation compared to 2023 levels. With no active impeachment proceedings, sustained opposition fragmentation ahead of the 2027 presidential vote, and no constitutional triggers for early removal under Argentine rules, the near-certain consensus reflects the absence of immediate institutional or political pathways to oust him before December 2027. Realistic shifts could still arise from a sharp deterioration in economic conditions, a major corruption scandal fracturing his coalition, or unforeseen health issues, though recent polling and legislative momentum continue to favor continuity through the remainder of the term.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย