Traders assign a 96.3% probability that Lai Ching-te remains Taiwan's president through December 31, 2026, reflecting the fixed four-year term structure established after his 2024 inauguration and the absence of scheduled elections or active constitutional removal proceedings. The legislature holds opposition majorities but has shown no viable path to impeachment or forced resignation amid routine management of cross-strait relations. This consensus aligns with historical patterns where sitting presidents complete terms absent major health events or scandals. The short window to year-end further reduces the scope for unexpected shifts, though low-probability catalysts such as sudden incapacity, verified corruption findings triggering legislative action, or acute diplomatic crises could still alter outcomes before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว4% โอกาส
$105,616 ปริมาณ
$105,616 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
4% โอกาส
$105,616 ปริมาณ
$105,616 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lai Ching-te ceases to be President of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lai Ching-te and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders assign a 96.3% probability that Lai Ching-te remains Taiwan's president through December 31, 2026, reflecting the fixed four-year term structure established after his 2024 inauguration and the absence of scheduled elections or active constitutional removal proceedings. The legislature holds opposition majorities but has shown no viable path to impeachment or forced resignation amid routine management of cross-strait relations. This consensus aligns with historical patterns where sitting presidents complete terms absent major health events or scandals. The short window to year-end further reduces the scope for unexpected shifts, though low-probability catalysts such as sudden incapacity, verified corruption findings triggering legislative action, or acute diplomatic crises could still alter outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lai Ching-te ceases to be President of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lai Ching-te and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lai Ching-te and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 7, 2026, 4:02 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$105,616วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 7, 2026, 4:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lai Ching-te ceases to be President of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lai Ching-te and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Traders assign a 96.3% probability that Lai Ching-te remains Taiwan's president through December 31, 2026, reflecting the fixed four-year term structure established after his 2024 inauguration and the absence of scheduled elections or active constitutional removal proceedings. The legislature holds opposition majorities but has shown no viable path to impeachment or forced resignation amid routine management of cross-strait relations. This consensus aligns with historical patterns where sitting presidents complete terms absent major health events or scandals. The short window to year-end further reduces the scope for unexpected shifts, though low-probability catalysts such as sudden incapacity, verified corruption findings triggering legislative action, or acute diplomatic crises could still alter outcomes before resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lai Ching-te ceases to be President of Taiwan for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lai Ching-te and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Lai Ching-te's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Lai Ching-te and the government of Taiwan; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$105,616วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 7, 2026, 4:02 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders assign a 96.3% probability that Lai Ching-te remains Taiwan's president through December 31, 2026, reflecting the fixed four-year term structure established after his 2024 inauguration and the absence of scheduled elections or active constitutional removal proceedings. The legislature holds opposition majorities but has shown no viable path to impeachment or forced resignation amid routine management of cross-strait relations. This consensus aligns with historical patterns where sitting presidents complete terms absent major health events or scandals. The short window to year-end further reduces the scope for unexpected shifts, though low-probability catalysts such as sudden incapacity, verified corruption findings triggering legislative action, or acute diplomatic crises could still alter outcomes before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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