Lee Shu-chuan leads the New Taipei mayoral market at 77.5% as the joint nominee of the KMT-TPP alliance following an April 2026 primary poll that defeated Huang Kuo-chang. This consolidation of opposition support against DPP candidate Su Chiao-hui, who trails in contemporaneous surveys by margins of roughly 5–12 points, underpins trader consensus on Lee’s position. Huang’s withdrawal and endorsement further narrows alternatives, reflected in his 0.4% odds. With the November 28, 2026, election still months away, the implied probabilities embed the structural advantage of unified non-DPP backing and limited recent polling shifts that could alter the race.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วNew Taipei Mayor Election Winner
New Taipei Mayor Election Winner
Lee Shu-chuan 78%
Su Chiao-hui 18%
Huang Kuo-chang <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 30, 2027
Lee Shu-chuan
78%
Su Chiao-hui
18%
Huang Kuo-chang
<1%
Lee Shu-chuan 78%
Su Chiao-hui 18%
Huang Kuo-chang <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 30, 2027
Lee Shu-chuan
$1,266 ปริมาณ
78%
Su Chiao-hui
$829 ปริมาณ
18%
Huang Kuo-chang
$603 ปริมาณ
<1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lee Shu-chuan leads the New Taipei mayoral market at 77.5% as the joint nominee of the KMT-TPP alliance following an April 2026 primary poll that defeated Huang Kuo-chang. This consolidation of opposition support against DPP candidate Su Chiao-hui, who trails in contemporaneous surveys by margins of roughly 5–12 points, underpins trader consensus on Lee’s position. Huang’s withdrawal and endorsement further narrows alternatives, reflected in his 0.4% odds. With the November 28, 2026, election still months away, the implied probabilities embed the structural advantage of unified non-DPP backing and limited recent polling shifts that could alter the race.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 14, 2026, 8:27 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,699วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 8:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lee Shu-chuan leads the New Taipei mayoral market at 77.5% as the joint nominee of the KMT-TPP alliance following an April 2026 primary poll that defeated Huang Kuo-chang. This consolidation of opposition support against DPP candidate Su Chiao-hui, who trails in contemporaneous surveys by margins of roughly 5–12 points, underpins trader consensus on Lee’s position. Huang’s withdrawal and endorsement further narrows alternatives, reflected in his 0.4% odds. With the November 28, 2026, election still months away, the implied probabilities embed the structural advantage of unified non-DPP backing and limited recent polling shifts that could alter the race.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,699วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 8:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lee Shu-chuan leads the New Taipei mayoral market at 77.5% as the joint nominee of the KMT-TPP alliance following an April 2026 primary poll that defeated Huang Kuo-chang. This consolidation of opposition support against DPP candidate Su Chiao-hui, who trails in contemporaneous surveys by margins of roughly 5–12 points, underpins trader consensus on Lee’s position. Huang’s withdrawal and endorsement further narrows alternatives, reflected in his 0.4% odds. With the November 28, 2026, election still months away, the implied probabilities embed the structural advantage of unified non-DPP backing and limited recent polling shifts that could alter the race.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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