Argentina’s official USD/ARS rate, currently near 1,488, trades within a BCRA-managed crawling band that widens monthly in line with lagged inflation readings. With full-year 2026 inflation projected around 29% and monthly prints near 2%, the policy framework points to roughly 8% further peso depreciation through December, keeping the rate inside the 1,600–1,700 range that commands over 75% combined implied probability. Fiscal surpluses, reserve accumulation exceeding IMF targets, and external support have anchored expectations, though persistent price pressures or any shift toward faster band adjustment could push the outcome higher. Traders price limited tail risk above 1,900 given the authorities’ commitment to gradual liberalization ahead of the 2027 election cycle.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$21,594 ปริมาณ
$21,594 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
<1600.00
43%
1600.00–1699.99
32%
1700.00–1799.99
7%
1800.00–1899.99
6%
1900.00–1999.99
1%
2000.00+
3%
$21,594 ปริมาณ
$21,594 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
<1600.00
$2,450 ปริมาณ
43%
1600.00–1699.99
$2,015 ปริมาณ
32%
1700.00–1799.99
$2,198 ปริมาณ
7%
1800.00–1899.99
$1,626 ปริมาณ
6%
1900.00–1999.99
$11,566 ปริมาณ
1%
2000.00+
$1,740 ปริมาณ
3%
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina’s official USD/ARS rate, currently near 1,488, trades within a BCRA-managed crawling band that widens monthly in line with lagged inflation readings. With full-year 2026 inflation projected around 29% and monthly prints near 2%, the policy framework points to roughly 8% further peso depreciation through December, keeping the rate inside the 1,600–1,700 range that commands over 75% combined implied probability. Fiscal surpluses, reserve accumulation exceeding IMF targets, and external support have anchored expectations, though persistent price pressures or any shift toward faster band adjustment could push the outcome higher. Traders price limited tail risk above 1,900 given the authorities’ commitment to gradual liberalization ahead of the 2027 election cycle.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$21,594วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina’s official USD/ARS rate, currently near 1,488, trades within a BCRA-managed crawling band that widens monthly in line with lagged inflation readings. With full-year 2026 inflation projected around 29% and monthly prints near 2%, the policy framework points to roughly 8% further peso depreciation through December, keeping the rate inside the 1,600–1,700 range that commands over 75% combined implied probability. Fiscal surpluses, reserve accumulation exceeding IMF targets, and external support have anchored expectations, though persistent price pressures or any shift toward faster band adjustment could push the outcome higher. Traders price limited tail risk above 1,900 given the authorities’ commitment to gradual liberalization ahead of the 2027 election cycle.
This is a market about Argentina’s official wholesale U.S. dollar exchange rate at market close on the last business day of December 2026, as published by the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA).
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the official wholesale USD to ARS exchange rate (Tipo de Cambio Mayorista, ($ por USD) Com. A 3500 | Referencia) at market close on the final business day of December 2026, as published by the BCRA on its official website (https://www.bcra.gob.ar/).
If the official rate for that date has not been published by the end of the 7th day after the end of the specified month, the market will resolve according to the most recently published official wholesale rate preceding that date.
The resolution source for this market will be the official BCRA publication. Resolution will occur once this figure is available.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA), which reports the Wholesale Exchange Rate to two decimal points (e.g., 1,408.02 ARS per USD). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$21,594วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 26, 2026, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Argentina’s official USD/ARS rate, currently near 1,488, trades within a BCRA-managed crawling band that widens monthly in line with lagged inflation readings. With full-year 2026 inflation projected around 29% and monthly prints near 2%, the policy framework points to roughly 8% further peso depreciation through December, keeping the rate inside the 1,600–1,700 range that commands over 75% combined implied probability. Fiscal surpluses, reserve accumulation exceeding IMF targets, and external support have anchored expectations, though persistent price pressures or any shift toward faster band adjustment could push the outcome higher. Traders price limited tail risk above 1,900 given the authorities’ commitment to gradual liberalization ahead of the 2027 election cycle.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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