Singapore's equatorial location and southwest monsoon regime typically produce stable overnight lows near 25–26°C in August, but the Meteorological Service Singapore's mid-August outlook highlighted drier regional conditions and reduced cloud cover that would limit nocturnal cooling, keeping most nights above 27°C through the second half of the month. Recent model guidance and station data show daily minima clustered between 25–28°C, with the highest probabilities assigned to 27–28°C because those values align with both the official “warm, humid nights” narrative and the narrow historical range observed under similar suppressed-rainfall patterns. Short-term forecasts for 25 August specifically indicate light winds and high humidity that should prevent deeper radiational cooling, while any localized showers could briefly suppress the minimum by 1°C—explaining why 23°C or below retains a modest 25% implied share despite the overall warm bias. Traders are therefore weighting the consensus seasonal guidance and latest model runs more heavily than longer-term climatology.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Singapore on August 25?
Lowest temperature in Singapore on August 25?
23°C or below 50%
33°C or higher 48%
27°C 32%
28°C 31%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 25, 2026
23°C or below
50%
24°C
12%
25°C
22%
26°C
23%
27°C
32%
28°C
31%
29°C
27%
30°C
21%
31°C
8%
32°C
8%
33°C or higher
48%
23°C or below 50%
33°C or higher 48%
27°C 32%
28°C 31%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 25, 2026
23°C or below
$5 ปริมาณ
50%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
12%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
32%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
31%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
30°C
$55 ปริมาณ
21%
31°C
$5 ปริมาณ
8%
32°C
$5 ปริมาณ
8%
33°C or higher
$30 ปริมาณ
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Singapore's equatorial location and southwest monsoon regime typically produce stable overnight lows near 25–26°C in August, but the Meteorological Service Singapore's mid-August outlook highlighted drier regional conditions and reduced cloud cover that would limit nocturnal cooling, keeping most nights above 27°C through the second half of the month. Recent model guidance and station data show daily minima clustered between 25–28°C, with the highest probabilities assigned to 27–28°C because those values align with both the official “warm, humid nights” narrative and the narrow historical range observed under similar suppressed-rainfall patterns. Short-term forecasts for 25 August specifically indicate light winds and high humidity that should prevent deeper radiational cooling, while any localized showers could briefly suppress the minimum by 1°C—explaining why 23°C or below retains a modest 25% implied share despite the overall warm bias. Traders are therefore weighting the consensus seasonal guidance and latest model runs more heavily than longer-term climatology.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$100วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Singapore's equatorial location and southwest monsoon regime typically produce stable overnight lows near 25–26°C in August, but the Meteorological Service Singapore's mid-August outlook highlighted drier regional conditions and reduced cloud cover that would limit nocturnal cooling, keeping most nights above 27°C through the second half of the month. Recent model guidance and station data show daily minima clustered between 25–28°C, with the highest probabilities assigned to 27–28°C because those values align with both the official “warm, humid nights” narrative and the narrow historical range observed under similar suppressed-rainfall patterns. Short-term forecasts for 25 August specifically indicate light winds and high humidity that should prevent deeper radiational cooling, while any localized showers could briefly suppress the minimum by 1°C—explaining why 23°C or below retains a modest 25% implied share despite the overall warm bias. Traders are therefore weighting the consensus seasonal guidance and latest model runs more heavily than longer-term climatology.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$100วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 25, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...Singapore's equatorial location and southwest monsoon regime typically produce stable overnight lows near 25–26°C in August, but the Meteorological Service Singapore's mid-August outlook highlighted drier regional conditions and reduced cloud cover that would limit nocturnal cooling, keeping most nights above 27°C through the second half of the month. Recent model guidance and station data show daily minima clustered between 25–28°C, with the highest probabilities assigned to 27–28°C because those values align with both the official “warm, humid nights” narrative and the narrow historical range observed under similar suppressed-rainfall patterns. Short-term forecasts for 25 August specifically indicate light winds and high humidity that should prevent deeper radiational cooling, while any localized showers could briefly suppress the minimum by 1°C—explaining why 23°C or below retains a modest 25% implied share despite the overall warm bias. Traders are therefore weighting the consensus seasonal guidance and latest model runs more heavily than longer-term climatology.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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