Market-implied odds heavily favor a lowest temperature of 74–77°F in New York City on August 3, reflecting National Weather Service and model consensus for overnight lows in the mid-70s amid a warm, humid air mass with minimal radiational cooling. High dew points and cloud cover are limiting nocturnal temperature drops below seasonal norms, consistent with the broader August outlook calling for above-average readings across the Northeast. Forecasters note typical early-August lows near 70°F but highlight how persistent southerly flow and urban heat retention support the current range; updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine these projections ahead of the 24-hour observation window used for resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in NYC on August 3?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 3?
74-75°F 45%
76-77°F 32%
72-73°F 12%
70-71°F 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 3, 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
8%
72-73°F
12%
74-75°F
45%
76-77°F
32%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84°F or higher
<1%
74-75°F 45%
76-77°F 32%
72-73°F 12%
70-71°F 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 3, 2026
65°F or below
$105 ปริมาณ
<1%
66-67°F
$35 ปริมาณ
1%
68-69°F
$154 ปริมาณ
1%
70-71°F
$140 ปริมาณ
8%
72-73°F
$164 ปริมาณ
12%
74-75°F
$750 ปริมาณ
45%
76-77°F
$124 ปริมาณ
32%
78-79°F
$1,742 ปริมาณ
6%
80-81°F
$1,231 ปริมาณ
<1%
82-83°F
$685 ปริมาณ
1%
84°F or higher
$100 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds heavily favor a lowest temperature of 74–77°F in New York City on August 3, reflecting National Weather Service and model consensus for overnight lows in the mid-70s amid a warm, humid air mass with minimal radiational cooling. High dew points and cloud cover are limiting nocturnal temperature drops below seasonal norms, consistent with the broader August outlook calling for above-average readings across the Northeast. Forecasters note typical early-August lows near 70°F but highlight how persistent southerly flow and urban heat retention support the current range; updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine these projections ahead of the 24-hour observation window used for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 1, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,231วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 1, 2026, 9:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Market-implied odds heavily favor a lowest temperature of 74–77°F in New York City on August 3, reflecting National Weather Service and model consensus for overnight lows in the mid-70s amid a warm, humid air mass with minimal radiational cooling. High dew points and cloud cover are limiting nocturnal temperature drops below seasonal norms, consistent with the broader August outlook calling for above-average readings across the Northeast. Forecasters note typical early-August lows near 70°F but highlight how persistent southerly flow and urban heat retention support the current range; updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine these projections ahead of the 24-hour observation window used for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,231วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 1, 2026, 9:30 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds heavily favor a lowest temperature of 74–77°F in New York City on August 3, reflecting National Weather Service and model consensus for overnight lows in the mid-70s amid a warm, humid air mass with minimal radiational cooling. High dew points and cloud cover are limiting nocturnal temperature drops below seasonal norms, consistent with the broader August outlook calling for above-average readings across the Northeast. Forecasters note typical early-August lows near 70°F but highlight how persistent southerly flow and urban heat retention support the current range; updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine these projections ahead of the 24-hour observation window used for resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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