Recent numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service indicate a minimum temperature near 10°C in Munich on September 19 under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds, favoring market-implied odds clustered around 6–8°C due to potential for stronger radiative cooling if overnight cloud cover thins. This aligns with the climatological average low of 9.7°C for the date while accounting for typical model spread in boundary-layer temperatures. Surface observations and updated high-resolution runs from agencies like DWD will provide the next key data points as the 24-hour forecast window narrows.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Munich on September 19?
6°C or below 87%
16°C or higher 80%
11°C 39%
12°C 39%
6°C or below
87%
7°C
25%
8°C
23%
9°C
21%
10°C
21%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
13%
14°C
13%
15°C
13%
16°C or higher
80%
6°C or below 87%
16°C or higher 80%
11°C 39%
12°C 39%
6°C or below
87%
7°C
25%
8°C
23%
9°C
21%
10°C
21%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
13%
14°C
13%
15°C
13%
16°C or higher
80%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 17, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and German Weather Service indicate a minimum temperature near 10°C in Munich on September 19 under partly cloudy skies and light southwesterly winds, favoring market-implied odds clustered around 6–8°C due to potential for stronger radiative cooling if overnight cloud cover thins. This aligns with the climatological average low of 9.7°C for the date while accounting for typical model spread in boundary-layer temperatures. Surface observations and updated high-resolution runs from agencies like DWD will provide the next key data points as the 24-hour forecast window narrows.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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