**Current forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a shift to cooler conditions overnight into August 24, with minimum temperatures in Moscow expected in the 12–15°C range under partly cloudy skies, westerly winds around 4–7 m/s, and possible light showers.** This follows warmer daytime highs near 22–24°C on August 23. The market's emphasis on 9°C or below (40% implied) alongside 12–13°C outcomes (combined ~49%) aligns with model consensus on radiative cooling potential if cloud cover thins and winds remain light, though recent runs show limited support for deeper drops below 10°C given the air mass and timing. Climatologically, the average low for the date is near 12°C, so traders appear to price modest negative anomalies from the incoming westerly flow and any precipitation-enhanced cooling. Key uncertainties include exact cloud timing and any model spread in the overnight minimum; updates from official Russian meteorological sources or refined ECMWF/GFS runs ahead of the 24th could refine these probabilities. Higher outcomes above 15°C carry low odds consistent with the expected cooling trend.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Moscow on August 24?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on August 24?
9°C or below 38%
13°C 37%
12°C 23%
10°C 20%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
9°C or below
38%
10°C
20%
11°C
20%
12°C
23%
13°C
28%
14°C
20%
15°C
19%
16°C
5%
17°C
2%
18°C
2%
19°C or higher
1%
9°C or below 38%
13°C 37%
12°C 23%
10°C 20%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 24, 2026
9°C or below
$37 ปริมาณ
38%
10°C
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
13°C
$5 ปริมาณ
28%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
15°C
$9 ปริมาณ
19%
16°C
$28 ปริมาณ
5%
17°C
$30 ปริมาณ
2%
18°C
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
19°C or higher
$45 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a shift to cooler conditions overnight into August 24, with minimum temperatures in Moscow expected in the 12–15°C range under partly cloudy skies, westerly winds around 4–7 m/s, and possible light showers.** This follows warmer daytime highs near 22–24°C on August 23. The market's emphasis on 9°C or below (40% implied) alongside 12–13°C outcomes (combined ~49%) aligns with model consensus on radiative cooling potential if cloud cover thins and winds remain light, though recent runs show limited support for deeper drops below 10°C given the air mass and timing.
Climatologically, the average low for the date is near 12°C, so traders appear to price modest negative anomalies from the incoming westerly flow and any precipitation-enhanced cooling. Key uncertainties include exact cloud timing and any model spread in the overnight minimum; updates from official Russian meteorological sources or refined ECMWF/GFS runs ahead of the 24th could refine these probabilities. Higher outcomes above 15°C carry low odds consistent with the expected cooling trend.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$160วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a shift to cooler conditions overnight into August 24, with minimum temperatures in Moscow expected in the 12–15°C range under partly cloudy skies, westerly winds around 4–7 m/s, and possible light showers.** This follows warmer daytime highs near 22–24°C on August 23. The market's emphasis on 9°C or below (40% implied) alongside 12–13°C outcomes (combined ~49%) aligns with model consensus on radiative cooling potential if cloud cover thins and winds remain light, though recent runs show limited support for deeper drops below 10°C given the air mass and timing.
Climatologically, the average low for the date is near 12°C, so traders appear to price modest negative anomalies from the incoming westerly flow and any precipitation-enhanced cooling. Key uncertainties include exact cloud timing and any model spread in the overnight minimum; updates from official Russian meteorological sources or refined ECMWF/GFS runs ahead of the 24th could refine these probabilities. Higher outcomes above 15°C carry low odds consistent with the expected cooling trend.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$160วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from GFS and other models indicate a shift to cooler conditions overnight into August 24, with minimum temperatures in Moscow expected in the 12–15°C range under partly cloudy skies, westerly winds around 4–7 m/s, and possible light showers.** This follows warmer daytime highs near 22–24°C on August 23. The market's emphasis on 9°C or below (40% implied) alongside 12–13°C outcomes (combined ~49%) aligns with model consensus on radiative cooling potential if cloud cover thins and winds remain light, though recent runs show limited support for deeper drops below 10°C given the air mass and timing. Climatologically, the average low for the date is near 12°C, so traders appear to price modest negative anomalies from the incoming westerly flow and any precipitation-enhanced cooling. Key uncertainties include exact cloud timing and any model spread in the overnight minimum; updates from official Russian meteorological sources or refined ECMWF/GFS runs ahead of the 24th could refine these probabilities. Higher outcomes above 15°C carry low odds consistent with the expected cooling trend.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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