**Current forecast models position the overnight low for Madrid on September 6 in the low-20s Celsius range, driving the market's leading outcomes of 21°C or below (48%) and 22–23°C.** High pressure and light winds under clear to partly cloudy skies are expected to limit radiative cooling, with ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF runs showing minimums around 21–24°C—well above the long-term average low of 17°C for the date. Recent model updates have held steady without introducing cooler air advection, supporting trader consensus around these thresholds while leaving room for minor downward revisions if dew points drop further overnight. Resolution hinges on official observations, with the next model cycle likely to refine the exact minimum before the market settles.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Madrid on September 6?
Lowest temperature in Madrid on September 6?
21°C or below 48%
31°C or higher 47%
26°C 44%
23°C 27%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 6, 2026
21°C or below
48%
22°C
27%
23°C
27%
24°C
13%
25°C
15%
26°C
44%
27°C
15%
28°C
6%
29°C
6%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
47%
21°C or below 48%
31°C or higher 47%
26°C 44%
23°C 27%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 6, 2026
21°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
48%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
13%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
15%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
44%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
15%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
31°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
47%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models position the overnight low for Madrid on September 6 in the low-20s Celsius range, driving the market's leading outcomes of 21°C or below (48%) and 22–23°C.**
High pressure and light winds under clear to partly cloudy skies are expected to limit radiative cooling, with ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF runs showing minimums around 21–24°C—well above the long-term average low of 17°C for the date. Recent model updates have held steady without introducing cooler air advection, supporting trader consensus around these thresholds while leaving room for minor downward revisions if dew points drop further overnight. Resolution hinges on official observations, with the next model cycle likely to refine the exact minimum before the market settles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast models position the overnight low for Madrid on September 6 in the low-20s Celsius range, driving the market's leading outcomes of 21°C or below (48%) and 22–23°C.**
High pressure and light winds under clear to partly cloudy skies are expected to limit radiative cooling, with ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF runs showing minimums around 21–24°C—well above the long-term average low of 17°C for the date. Recent model updates have held steady without introducing cooler air advection, supporting trader consensus around these thresholds while leaving room for minor downward revisions if dew points drop further overnight. Resolution hinges on official observations, with the next model cycle likely to refine the exact minimum before the market settles.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 6, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecast models position the overnight low for Madrid on September 6 in the low-20s Celsius range, driving the market's leading outcomes of 21°C or below (48%) and 22–23°C.** High pressure and light winds under clear to partly cloudy skies are expected to limit radiative cooling, with ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF runs showing minimums around 21–24°C—well above the long-term average low of 17°C for the date. Recent model updates have held steady without introducing cooler air advection, supporting trader consensus around these thresholds while leaving room for minor downward revisions if dew points drop further overnight. Resolution hinges on official observations, with the next model cycle likely to refine the exact minimum before the market settles.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย