Current forecasts from regional models and observational networks indicate a minimum temperature near 25–26°C overnight in Chongqing, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light southeasterly winds, and high humidity limiting radiative cooling. This positions the 26°C outcome as the market leader, with implied probabilities reflecting consensus across official guidance that overnight lows will remain above 24°C. Recent data show no incoming cold air advection or significant precipitation today to drive sharper drops, consistent with September climatology where typical minima hover near 22°C but current warm anomalies sustain higher values. Traders appear to discount the 20°C-or-below option absent model shifts, while monitoring evening observations and any late-day forecast revisions for resolution thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Chongqing on September 5?
Lowest temperature in Chongqing on September 5?
20°C or below 71%
23°C 8%
22°C 7%
27°C <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 5, 2026
20°C or below
71%
21°C
-
22°C
7%
23°C
8%
24°C
-
25°C
35%
26°C
-
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
20°C or below 71%
23°C 8%
22°C 7%
27°C <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 5, 2026
20°C or below
$75 ปริมาณ
71%
21°C
$21 ปริมาณ
-
22°C
$22 ปริมาณ
7%
23°C
$22 ปริมาณ
8%
24°C
$116 ปริมาณ
-
25°C
$106 ปริมาณ
35%
26°C
$637 ปริมาณ
-
27°C
$35 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$1,035 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$35 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C or higher
$81 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from regional models and observational networks indicate a minimum temperature near 25–26°C overnight in Chongqing, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light southeasterly winds, and high humidity limiting radiative cooling. This positions the 26°C outcome as the market leader, with implied probabilities reflecting consensus across official guidance that overnight lows will remain above 24°C. Recent data show no incoming cold air advection or significant precipitation today to drive sharper drops, consistent with September climatology where typical minima hover near 22°C but current warm anomalies sustain higher values. Traders appear to discount the 20°C-or-below option absent model shifts, while monitoring evening observations and any late-day forecast revisions for resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,185วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from regional models and observational networks indicate a minimum temperature near 25–26°C overnight in Chongqing, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light southeasterly winds, and high humidity limiting radiative cooling. This positions the 26°C outcome as the market leader, with implied probabilities reflecting consensus across official guidance that overnight lows will remain above 24°C. Recent data show no incoming cold air advection or significant precipitation today to drive sharper drops, consistent with September climatology where typical minima hover near 22°C but current warm anomalies sustain higher values. Traders appear to discount the 20°C-or-below option absent model shifts, while monitoring evening observations and any late-day forecast revisions for resolution thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$2,185วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from regional models and observational networks indicate a minimum temperature near 25–26°C overnight in Chongqing, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, light southeasterly winds, and high humidity limiting radiative cooling. This positions the 26°C outcome as the market leader, with implied probabilities reflecting consensus across official guidance that overnight lows will remain above 24°C. Recent data show no incoming cold air advection or significant precipitation today to drive sharper drops, consistent with September climatology where typical minima hover near 22°C but current warm anomalies sustain higher values. Traders appear to discount the 20°C-or-below option absent model shifts, while monitoring evening observations and any late-day forecast revisions for resolution thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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