Recent northerly flow and high pressure over central Turkey are driving clear skies and enhanced radiative cooling overnight, positioning Ankara's minimum temperature on September 8 near 10–11 °C according to consensus from European and U.S. models. This setup follows a modest cool front that lowered daytime maxima on September 7, with dew points in the single digits supporting efficient heat loss under light northeast winds. Historical early-September climatology for the region shows typical overnight lows of 13–15 °C, so current guidance reflects a slightly cooler-than-average episode. Market-implied odds favoring 9 °C or below at 49 % appear to embed residual model spread and potential for localized urban or observational variance, while probabilities clustered around 10–12 °C align with the latest deterministic runs. Final verification will depend on official station data at Esenboğa or central Ankara sites early on September 8.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Ankara on September 8?
9°C or below 49%
12°C 48%
14°C 48%
15°C 48%
9°C or below
49%
10°C
26%
11°C
25%
12°C
48%
13°C
7%
14°C
48%
15°C
48%
16°C
48%
17°C
8%
18°C
4%
19°C or higher
23%
9°C or below 49%
12°C 48%
14°C 48%
15°C 48%
9°C or below
49%
10°C
26%
11°C
25%
12°C
48%
13°C
7%
14°C
48%
15°C
48%
16°C
48%
17°C
8%
18°C
4%
19°C or higher
23%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent northerly flow and high pressure over central Turkey are driving clear skies and enhanced radiative cooling overnight, positioning Ankara's minimum temperature on September 8 near 10–11 °C according to consensus from European and U.S. models. This setup follows a modest cool front that lowered daytime maxima on September 7, with dew points in the single digits supporting efficient heat loss under light northeast winds. Historical early-September climatology for the region shows typical overnight lows of 13–15 °C, so current guidance reflects a slightly cooler-than-average episode. Market-implied odds favoring 9 °C or below at 49 % appear to embed residual model spread and potential for localized urban or observational variance, while probabilities clustered around 10–12 °C align with the latest deterministic runs. Final verification will depend on official station data at Esenboğa or central Ankara sites early on September 8.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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