Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models point to a daily maximum near 31–32°C on September 7, driven by light winds, high humidity, and variable cloud cover following the passage of Tropical Storm Saudel. Scattered showers and thicker cloud bands could suppress peak heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling, while brief sunny intervals might allow readings to reach 32°C. The developing El Niño event provides a warmer-than-average baseline for the region, though short-term steering patterns and local convection introduce uncertainty in exact maxima. Traders appear to weigh these narrow meteorological variables heavily, with the tight spread between 31°C and 32°C outcomes reflecting model consensus on modest day-to-day variability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 7?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on September 7?
31°C 34%
32°C 34%
30°C 16%
29°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 7, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
13%
30°C
16%
31°C
34%
32°C
34%
33°C
11%
34°C
5%
35°C or higher
6%
31°C 34%
32°C 34%
30°C 16%
29°C 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 7, 2026
25°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C
$117 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
13%
30°C
$22 ปริมาณ
16%
31°C
$5 ปริมาณ
34%
32°C
$18 ปริมาณ
34%
33°C
$254 ปริมาณ
11%
34°C
$38 ปริมาณ
5%
35°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models point to a daily maximum near 31–32°C on September 7, driven by light winds, high humidity, and variable cloud cover following the passage of Tropical Storm Saudel. Scattered showers and thicker cloud bands could suppress peak heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling, while brief sunny intervals might allow readings to reach 32°C. The developing El Niño event provides a warmer-than-average baseline for the region, though short-term steering patterns and local convection introduce uncertainty in exact maxima. Traders appear to weigh these narrow meteorological variables heavily, with the tight spread between 31°C and 32°C outcomes reflecting model consensus on modest day-to-day variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$454วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models point to a daily maximum near 31–32°C on September 7, driven by light winds, high humidity, and variable cloud cover following the passage of Tropical Storm Saudel. Scattered showers and thicker cloud bands could suppress peak heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling, while brief sunny intervals might allow readings to reach 32°C. The developing El Niño event provides a warmer-than-average baseline for the region, though short-term steering patterns and local convection introduce uncertainty in exact maxima. Traders appear to weigh these narrow meteorological variables heavily, with the tight spread between 31°C and 32°C outcomes reflecting model consensus on modest day-to-day variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$454วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models point to a daily maximum near 31–32°C on September 7, driven by light winds, high humidity, and variable cloud cover following the passage of Tropical Storm Saudel. Scattered showers and thicker cloud bands could suppress peak heating through reduced insolation and evaporative cooling, while brief sunny intervals might allow readings to reach 32°C. The developing El Niño event provides a warmer-than-average baseline for the region, though short-term steering patterns and local convection introduce uncertainty in exact maxima. Traders appear to weigh these narrow meteorological variables heavily, with the tight spread between 31°C and 32°C outcomes reflecting model consensus on modest day-to-day variability.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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