Recent Houthi missile and drone strikes on two Saudi oil tankers in the Red Sea in late July 2026, alongside a declared blockade on Saudi-linked vessels through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, represent the primary driver behind current trader sentiment on related prediction markets. These actions, tied to broader Iran-Saudi tensions and post-ceasefire regional dynamics, have already slowed tanker traffic, prompted route diversions, and elevated war-risk insurance premiums for energy cargoes. Markets price in the risk of sustained disruptions to roughly 7% of global oil supply via the strait, with potential knock-on effects for Brent crude benchmarks, freight rates, and LNG/chemical tanker economics. Upcoming catalysts include any further Houthi enforcement actions or Saudi responses that could alter shipping volumes through the chokepoint.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHouthis successfully target shipping on...?
Houthis successfully target shipping on...?
$67,982 ปริมาณ
Aug 2, 2026
July 27
3%
July 28
24%
July 29
6%
July 30
2%
July 31
1%
August 1
19%
August 2
34%
August 3
13%
August 4
12%
August 5
14%
August 6
12%
August 7
29%
August 8
13%
August 9
11%
August 10
10%
August 11
12%
August 12
13%
August 13
24%
August 14
12%
August 15
7%
August 16
13%
August 17
9%
August 18
11%
August 19
31%
August 20
9%
August 21
12%
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12%
August 23
14%
August 24
14%
August 25
9%
August 26
16%
August 27
11%
August 28
12%
August 29
9%
August 30
11%
August 31
6%
$67,982 ปริมาณ
July 27
$1,420 ปริมาณ
3%
July 28
$3,822 ปริมาณ
24%
July 29
$1,709 ปริมาณ
6%
July 30
$2,482 ปริมาณ
2%
July 31
$2,080 ปริมาณ
1%
August 1
$2,215 ปริมาณ
19%
August 2
$1,502 ปริมาณ
34%
August 3
$2,485 ปริมาณ
13%
August 4
$578 ปริมาณ
12%
August 5
$683 ปริมาณ
14%
August 6
$872 ปริมาณ
12%
August 7
$688 ปริมาณ
29%
August 8
$706 ปริมาณ
13%
August 9
$483 ปริมาณ
11%
August 10
$298 ปริมาณ
10%
August 11
$2,247 ปริมาณ
12%
August 12
$522 ปริมาณ
13%
August 13
$331 ปริมาณ
24%
August 14
$1,238 ปริมาณ
12%
August 15
$1,660 ปริมาณ
7%
August 16
$1,742 ปริมาณ
13%
August 17
$1,356 ปริมาณ
9%
August 18
$406 ปริมาณ
11%
August 19
$1,112 ปริมาณ
31%
August 20
$2,472 ปริมาณ
9%
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$1,393 ปริมาณ
12%
August 22
$64 ปริมาณ
12%
August 23
$73 ปริมาณ
14%
August 24
$330 ปริมาณ
14%
August 25
$1,965 ปริมาณ
9%
August 26
$230 ปริมาณ
16%
August 27
$1,328 ปริมาณ
11%
August 28
$674 ปริมาณ
12%
August 29
$1,224 ปริมาณ
9%
August 30
$1,593 ปริมาณ
11%
August 31
$2,916 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.
Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.Recent Houthi missile and drone strikes on two Saudi oil tankers in the Red Sea in late July 2026, alongside a declared blockade on Saudi-linked vessels through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, represent the primary driver behind current trader sentiment on related prediction markets. These actions, tied to broader Iran-Saudi tensions and post-ceasefire regional dynamics, have already slowed tanker traffic, prompted route diversions, and elevated war-risk insurance premiums for energy cargoes. Markets price in the risk of sustained disruptions to roughly 7% of global oil supply via the strait, with potential knock-on effects for Brent crude benchmarks, freight rates, and LNG/chemical tanker economics. Upcoming catalysts include any further Houthi enforcement actions or Saudi responses that could alter shipping volumes through the chokepoint.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.
Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.
Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.
Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 23, 2026, 10:39 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$67,982วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 23, 2026, 10:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.
Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.Recent Houthi missile and drone strikes on two Saudi oil tankers in the Red Sea in late July 2026, alongside a declared blockade on Saudi-linked vessels through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, represent the primary driver behind current trader sentiment on related prediction markets. These actions, tied to broader Iran-Saudi tensions and post-ceasefire regional dynamics, have already slowed tanker traffic, prompted route diversions, and elevated war-risk insurance premiums for energy cargoes. Markets price in the risk of sustained disruptions to roughly 7% of global oil supply via the strait, with potential knock-on effects for Brent crude benchmarks, freight rates, and LNG/chemical tanker economics. Upcoming catalysts include any further Houthi enforcement actions or Saudi responses that could alter shipping volumes through the chokepoint.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship on the specified date AST (UTC+03:00). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.
Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.
Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.
Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
If a kinetic incident occurs, but, on the specified date, 11:59 PM AST, material ambiguity remains as to whether the incident can be attributed to Houthi operatives, this market may remain open for an additional 3 calendar days, AST. If, at such time, attribution of the incident still cannot be confirmed, this market will resolve to “No”.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$67,982วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 23, 2026, 10:39 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent Houthi missile and drone strikes on two Saudi oil tankers in the Red Sea in late July 2026, alongside a declared blockade on Saudi-linked vessels through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, represent the primary driver behind current trader sentiment on related prediction markets. These actions, tied to broader Iran-Saudi tensions and post-ceasefire regional dynamics, have already slowed tanker traffic, prompted route diversions, and elevated war-risk insurance premiums for energy cargoes. Markets price in the risk of sustained disruptions to roughly 7% of global oil supply via the strait, with potential knock-on effects for Brent crude benchmarks, freight rates, and LNG/chemical tanker economics. Upcoming catalysts include any further Houthi enforcement actions or Saudi responses that could alter shipping volumes through the chokepoint.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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