**US retail gasoline prices currently average around $4.10 per gallon nationally as of July 31, 2026, reflecting recent weekly gains amid elevated summer demand.** However, multiple supply-side developments are exerting downward pressure on crude oil benchmarks and refining margins, which directly feed into pump prices. Global inventories are shifting from draws to builds as Persian Gulf production recovers from earlier disruptions, with EIA projecting Brent crude averaging $74 per barrel in Q3 2026 versus much higher levels earlier in the year. This easing supply, combined with moderating inventory draws and the wind-down of peak driving season, underpins the EIA’s forecast for average retail gasoline of $3.80 per gallon across Q3—down from over $4.20 in Q2—before further declines toward $3.40 in Q4. Key market dynamics include narrowing crack spreads as gasoline inventories rebuild and OPEC+ and non-OPEC supply responses stabilize flows. Trader sentiment in related prediction markets likely prices in these fundamentals, with limited scope for sharp upside absent renewed geopolitical shocks or unexpected demand spikes. Near-term catalysts center on weekly EIA inventory reports, any final summer demand data, and broader crude price movements, which could determine whether prices sustain near current levels or accelerate lower by month-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWill gas hit __ by end of August?
Will gas hit __ by end of August?
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
↑ $5.00
6%
↑ $4.75
15%
↑ $4.50
33%
↑ $4.25
64%
↓ $3.90
48%
↓ $3.70
28%
↓ $3.50
13%
↓ $3.25
26%
↓ $3.00
24%
↓ $2.50
5%
$4,701 ปริมาณ
↑ $5.00
$1,466 ปริมาณ
6%
↑ $4.75
$60 ปริมาณ
15%
↑ $4.50
$564 ปริมาณ
33%
↑ $4.25
$863 ปริมาณ
64%
↓ $3.90
$181 ปริมาณ
48%
↓ $3.70
$1,327 ปริมาณ
28%
↓ $3.50
$22 ปริมาณ
13%
↓ $3.25
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
↓ $3.00
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
↓ $2.50
$218 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".**US retail gasoline prices currently average around $4.10 per gallon nationally as of July 31, 2026, reflecting recent weekly gains amid elevated summer demand.** However, multiple supply-side developments are exerting downward pressure on crude oil benchmarks and refining margins, which directly feed into pump prices. Global inventories are shifting from draws to builds as Persian Gulf production recovers from earlier disruptions, with EIA projecting Brent crude averaging $74 per barrel in Q3 2026 versus much higher levels earlier in the year. This easing supply, combined with moderating inventory draws and the wind-down of peak driving season, underpins the EIA’s forecast for average retail gasoline of $3.80 per gallon across Q3—down from over $4.20 in Q2—before further declines toward $3.40 in Q4.
Key market dynamics include narrowing crack spreads as gasoline inventories rebuild and OPEC+ and non-OPEC supply responses stabilize flows. Trader sentiment in related prediction markets likely prices in these fundamentals, with limited scope for sharp upside absent renewed geopolitical shocks or unexpected demand spikes. Near-term catalysts center on weekly EIA inventory reports, any final summer demand data, and broader crude price movements, which could determine whether prices sustain near current levels or accelerate lower by month-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 29, 2026, 3:23 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,701วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 29, 2026, 3:23 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://gasprices.aaa.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".**US retail gasoline prices currently average around $4.10 per gallon nationally as of July 31, 2026, reflecting recent weekly gains amid elevated summer demand.** However, multiple supply-side developments are exerting downward pressure on crude oil benchmarks and refining margins, which directly feed into pump prices. Global inventories are shifting from draws to builds as Persian Gulf production recovers from earlier disruptions, with EIA projecting Brent crude averaging $74 per barrel in Q3 2026 versus much higher levels earlier in the year. This easing supply, combined with moderating inventory draws and the wind-down of peak driving season, underpins the EIA’s forecast for average retail gasoline of $3.80 per gallon across Q3—down from over $4.20 in Q2—before further declines toward $3.40 in Q4.
Key market dynamics include narrowing crack spreads as gasoline inventories rebuild and OPEC+ and non-OPEC supply responses stabilize flows. Trader sentiment in related prediction markets likely prices in these fundamentals, with limited scope for sharp upside absent renewed geopolitical shocks or unexpected demand spikes. Near-term catalysts center on weekly EIA inventory reports, any final summer demand data, and broader crude price movements, which could determine whether prices sustain near current levels or accelerate lower by month-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if on any day between market creation and August 31, 2026, the average US regular gas price is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
Only the first two decimal digits of the reported price will be considered (e.g., if the price is reported as $3.257, this market will use $3.25 as the price).
The resolution source for this market will be information from the American Automobile Association (AAA), presently found here: https://gasprices.aaa.com/. Specifically, the cell under "Regular" and for the row "Current Avg".
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,701วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jul 29, 2026, 3:23 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://gasprices.aaa.com/Resolver
0x65070BE91...**US retail gasoline prices currently average around $4.10 per gallon nationally as of July 31, 2026, reflecting recent weekly gains amid elevated summer demand.** However, multiple supply-side developments are exerting downward pressure on crude oil benchmarks and refining margins, which directly feed into pump prices. Global inventories are shifting from draws to builds as Persian Gulf production recovers from earlier disruptions, with EIA projecting Brent crude averaging $74 per barrel in Q3 2026 versus much higher levels earlier in the year. This easing supply, combined with moderating inventory draws and the wind-down of peak driving season, underpins the EIA’s forecast for average retail gasoline of $3.80 per gallon across Q3—down from over $4.20 in Q2—before further declines toward $3.40 in Q4. Key market dynamics include narrowing crack spreads as gasoline inventories rebuild and OPEC+ and non-OPEC supply responses stabilize flows. Trader sentiment in related prediction markets likely prices in these fundamentals, with limited scope for sharp upside absent renewed geopolitical shocks or unexpected demand spikes. Near-term catalysts center on weekly EIA inventory reports, any final summer demand data, and broader crude price movements, which could determine whether prices sustain near current levels or accelerate lower by month-end.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย