Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in a joint U.S.-Israeli airstrike on February 28, 2026, during escalated regional conflict, triggering the constitutional succession process via the Assembly of Experts. A temporary three-member leadership council assumed powers under Article 111, while the 88-member Assembly selected Mojtaba Khamenei as the new supreme leader in early March following deliberations among clerical and political figures. This rapid transition occurred amid prior speculation over health concerns, potential successors including Mojtaba or figures like Alireza Arafi, and domestic pressures from protests and economic strain. With the position now filled, markets tied to specific deadlines have incorporated the confirmed outcome, while any remaining uncertainty centers on the new leader's consolidation of authority, ongoing funeral proceedings, and external diplomatic or military developments that could influence regime stability through late 2026.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$23,612,326 ปริมาณ
Aug 22, 2026
August 22
<1%
August 31
1%
September 30
5%
October 31
8%
November 30
11%
31 ธันวาคม
17%
June 30, 2027
26%
$23,612,326 ปริมาณ
August 22
$59,161 ปริมาณ
<1%
August 31
$1,178,795 ปริมาณ
1%
September 30
$465,118 ปริมาณ
5%
October 31
$14,071 ปริมาณ
8%
November 30
$12,278 ปริมาณ
11%
31 ธันวาคม
$4,033,570 ปริมาณ
17%
June 30, 2027
$241,200 ปริมาณ
26%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in a joint U.S.-Israeli airstrike on February 28, 2026, during escalated regional conflict, triggering the constitutional succession process via the Assembly of Experts. A temporary three-member leadership council assumed powers under Article 111, while the 88-member Assembly selected Mojtaba Khamenei as the new supreme leader in early March following deliberations among clerical and political figures. This rapid transition occurred amid prior speculation over health concerns, potential successors including Mojtaba or figures like Alireza Arafi, and domestic pressures from protests and economic strain. With the position now filled, markets tied to specific deadlines have incorporated the confirmed outcome, while any remaining uncertainty centers on the new leader's consolidation of authority, ongoing funeral proceedings, and external diplomatic or military developments that could influence regime stability through late 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$23,612,326วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in a joint U.S.-Israeli airstrike on February 28, 2026, during escalated regional conflict, triggering the constitutional succession process via the Assembly of Experts. A temporary three-member leadership council assumed powers under Article 111, while the 88-member Assembly selected Mojtaba Khamenei as the new supreme leader in early March following deliberations among clerical and political figures. This rapid transition occurred amid prior speculation over health concerns, potential successors including Mojtaba or figures like Alireza Arafi, and domestic pressures from protests and economic strain. With the position now filled, markets tied to specific deadlines have incorporated the confirmed outcome, while any remaining uncertainty centers on the new leader's consolidation of authority, ongoing funeral proceedings, and external diplomatic or military developments that could influence regime stability through late 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$23,612,326วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei was killed in a joint U.S.-Israeli airstrike on February 28, 2026, during escalated regional conflict, triggering the constitutional succession process via the Assembly of Experts. A temporary three-member leadership council assumed powers under Article 111, while the 88-member Assembly selected Mojtaba Khamenei as the new supreme leader in early March following deliberations among clerical and political figures. This rapid transition occurred amid prior speculation over health concerns, potential successors including Mojtaba or figures like Alireza Arafi, and domestic pressures from protests and economic strain. With the position now filled, markets tied to specific deadlines have incorporated the confirmed outcome, while any remaining uncertainty centers on the new leader's consolidation of authority, ongoing funeral proceedings, and external diplomatic or military developments that could influence regime stability through late 2026.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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