Recent official forecasts from Poland’s IMGW and supporting numerical models position a daily maximum near 25°C for Warsaw on August 9, 2026, under stable summer conditions with moderate insolation, light variable winds, and limited cloud cover. This aligns with early-August climatology for the region, where average highs range 23–26°C and model ensembles show minimal spread around that value. The 24°C outcome trails due to slightly cooler boundary-layer trajectories in some runs, while 26°C remains plausible if daytime heating exceeds expectations. Traders are weighting these probabilities against the latest model consensus and IMGW guidance, with resolution hinging on verified station measurements rather than forecasts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 9?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 9?
25°C 60%
24°C 22%
26°C 19%
27°C 2%
$11,517 ปริมาณ
$11,517 ปริมาณ
Aug 9, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
22%
25°C
60%
26°C
19%
27°C
2%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 60%
24°C 22%
26°C 19%
27°C 2%
$11,517 ปริมาณ
$11,517 ปริมาณ
Aug 9, 2026
21°C or below
$709 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$1,149 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$527 ปริมาณ
2%
24°C
$2,373 ปริมาณ
22%
25°C
$2,738 ปริมาณ
60%
26°C
$1,156 ปริมาณ
19%
27°C
$1,017 ปริมาณ
2%
28°C
$659 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$291 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$471 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C or higher
$426 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Poland’s IMGW and supporting numerical models position a daily maximum near 25°C for Warsaw on August 9, 2026, under stable summer conditions with moderate insolation, light variable winds, and limited cloud cover. This aligns with early-August climatology for the region, where average highs range 23–26°C and model ensembles show minimal spread around that value. The 24°C outcome trails due to slightly cooler boundary-layer trajectories in some runs, while 26°C remains plausible if daytime heating exceeds expectations. Traders are weighting these probabilities against the latest model consensus and IMGW guidance, with resolution hinging on verified station measurements rather than forecasts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,517วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from Poland’s IMGW and supporting numerical models position a daily maximum near 25°C for Warsaw on August 9, 2026, under stable summer conditions with moderate insolation, light variable winds, and limited cloud cover. This aligns with early-August climatology for the region, where average highs range 23–26°C and model ensembles show minimal spread around that value. The 24°C outcome trails due to slightly cooler boundary-layer trajectories in some runs, while 26°C remains plausible if daytime heating exceeds expectations. Traders are weighting these probabilities against the latest model consensus and IMGW guidance, with resolution hinging on verified station measurements rather than forecasts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,517วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 9, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from Poland’s IMGW and supporting numerical models position a daily maximum near 25°C for Warsaw on August 9, 2026, under stable summer conditions with moderate insolation, light variable winds, and limited cloud cover. This aligns with early-August climatology for the region, where average highs range 23–26°C and model ensembles show minimal spread around that value. The 24°C outcome trails due to slightly cooler boundary-layer trajectories in some runs, while 26°C remains plausible if daytime heating exceeds expectations. Traders are weighting these probabilities against the latest model consensus and IMGW guidance, with resolution hinging on verified station measurements rather than forecasts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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