Trader consensus favors 22–23°C as the highest temperature in Warsaw on August 11 due to ensemble model outputs from sources like ECMWF and GFS projecting moderate daytime maxima amid variable cloud cover and light northerly flow. These runs show limited diurnal heating from reduced insolation under partly cloudy conditions, with surface highs constrained by a stable boundary layer and possible early showers suppressing peaks near the climatological August average of 23°C. Minor model spread arises from differences in predicted low-level moisture and wind speeds, creating the tight distribution across 21–24°C outcomes while underscoring forecast uncertainty typical of short-range European summer predictions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 11?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 11?
22°C 39%
23°C 28%
21°C 23%
24°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 11, 2026
18°C or below
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
10%
21°C
23%
22°C
39%
23°C
28%
24°C
11%
25°C
2%
26°C
4%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 39%
23°C 28%
21°C 23%
24°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 11, 2026
18°C or below
$5 ปริมาณ
2%
19°C
$11 ปริมาณ
2%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
10%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
22°C
$92 ปริมาณ
39%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
11%
25°C
$11 ปริมาณ
2%
26°C
$10 ปริมาณ
4%
27°C
$12 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C or higher
$200 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favors 22–23°C as the highest temperature in Warsaw on August 11 due to ensemble model outputs from sources like ECMWF and GFS projecting moderate daytime maxima amid variable cloud cover and light northerly flow. These runs show limited diurnal heating from reduced insolation under partly cloudy conditions, with surface highs constrained by a stable boundary layer and possible early showers suppressing peaks near the climatological August average of 23°C. Minor model spread arises from differences in predicted low-level moisture and wind speeds, creating the tight distribution across 21–24°C outcomes while underscoring forecast uncertainty typical of short-range European summer predictions.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$340วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus favors 22–23°C as the highest temperature in Warsaw on August 11 due to ensemble model outputs from sources like ECMWF and GFS projecting moderate daytime maxima amid variable cloud cover and light northerly flow. These runs show limited diurnal heating from reduced insolation under partly cloudy conditions, with surface highs constrained by a stable boundary layer and possible early showers suppressing peaks near the climatological August average of 23°C. Minor model spread arises from differences in predicted low-level moisture and wind speeds, creating the tight distribution across 21–24°C outcomes while underscoring forecast uncertainty typical of short-range European summer predictions.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$340วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 22–23°C as the highest temperature in Warsaw on August 11 due to ensemble model outputs from sources like ECMWF and GFS projecting moderate daytime maxima amid variable cloud cover and light northerly flow. These runs show limited diurnal heating from reduced insolation under partly cloudy conditions, with surface highs constrained by a stable boundary layer and possible early showers suppressing peaks near the climatological August average of 23°C. Minor model spread arises from differences in predicted low-level moisture and wind speeds, creating the tight distribution across 21–24°C outcomes while underscoring forecast uncertainty typical of short-range European summer predictions.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย