Recent numerical weather prediction models, including outputs from global ensembles and the Israel Meteorological Service, indicate a maximum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 6 of 30–31 °C under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds and low humidity. This consensus arises from a stable late-summer subtropical high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, producing typical seasonal conditions without significant advection of hotter continental air or stronger sea breezes that could alter the peak. Trader positioning, with 31 °C at 56 % and 32 °C at 45.5 % implied probability, reflects the narrow forecast spread and residual uncertainty in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and exact model bias. Updated runs ahead of the daily maximum will determine whether the outcome settles at the lower or upper edge of this range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 6?
31°C 56%
32°C 46%
33°C 2%
34°C <1%
$13,817 ปริมาณ
$13,817 ปริมาณ
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
56%
32°C
46%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
31°C 56%
32°C 46%
33°C 2%
34°C <1%
$13,817 ปริมาณ
$13,817 ปริมาณ
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
56%
32°C
46%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models, including outputs from global ensembles and the Israel Meteorological Service, indicate a maximum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 6 of 30–31 °C under partly cloudy skies with moderate westerly winds and low humidity. This consensus arises from a stable late-summer subtropical high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, producing typical seasonal conditions without significant advection of hotter continental air or stronger sea breezes that could alter the peak. Trader positioning, with 31 °C at 56 % and 32 °C at 45.5 % implied probability, reflects the narrow forecast spread and residual uncertainty in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and exact model bias. Updated runs ahead of the daily maximum will determine whether the outcome settles at the lower or upper edge of this range.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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