Latest numerical weather prediction runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles place Tel Aviv’s August 12 maximum at 34–35 °C, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Persistent high pressure, light northwesterly flow, and intense solar heating under clear skies are advecting a warm subtropical air mass over the coastal plain, pushing daytime peaks above the mid-August climatological average of roughly 31 °C. Minor differences in boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing across models create the narrow uncertainty band separating 34 °C from 35 °C, while probabilities for outcomes outside this range remain minimal given stable synoptic conditions and the absence of significant cloud cover or wind shifts in the latest guidance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 12?
35°C 55%
34°C 45%
36°C 3%
33°C 2%
$22,796 ปริมาณ
$22,796 ปริมาณ
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
45%
35°C
55%
36°C
3%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
35°C 55%
34°C 45%
36°C 3%
33°C 2%
$22,796 ปริมาณ
$22,796 ปริมาณ
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
2%
34°C
45%
35°C
55%
36°C
3%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction runs from the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles place Tel Aviv’s August 12 maximum at 34–35 °C, driving the near-even market split between those two outcomes. Persistent high pressure, light northwesterly flow, and intense solar heating under clear skies are advecting a warm subtropical air mass over the coastal plain, pushing daytime peaks above the mid-August climatological average of roughly 31 °C. Minor differences in boundary-layer mixing and sea-breeze timing across models create the narrow uncertainty band separating 34 °C from 35 °C, while probabilities for outcomes outside this range remain minimal given stable synoptic conditions and the absence of significant cloud cover or wind shifts in the latest guidance.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


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