Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and major global models indicate a daytime maximum near 35°C in Tel Aviv on August 11, driven by persistent high-pressure subsidence, clear skies maximizing solar insolation, and light westerly or northerly flow that limits sea-breeze cooling. This places the outcome modestly above the August climatological average of 31–32°C while remaining well below extreme heatwave thresholds. Recent model runs show consistent guidance without significant spread in peak values, supporting trader convergence on the 34–36°C range as resolution probabilities. Updated short-range forecasts and any late adjustments to boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns represent the key variables that could shift the final observed high before market settlement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 11?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 11?
35°C 44%
34°C 31%
36°C 25%
37°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 11, 2026
31°C or below
4%
32°C
2%
33°C
3%
34°C
31%
35°C
44%
36°C
25%
37°C
8%
38°C
3%
39°C
3%
40°C
3%
41°C or higher
1%
35°C 44%
34°C 31%
36°C 25%
37°C 8%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 11, 2026
31°C or below
$10 ปริมาณ
4%
32°C
$13 ปริมาณ
2%
33°C
$47 ปริมาณ
3%
34°C
$81 ปริมาณ
31%
35°C
$35 ปริมาณ
44%
36°C
$298 ปริมาณ
25%
37°C
$10 ปริมาณ
8%
38°C
$42 ปริมาณ
3%
39°C
$10 ปริมาณ
3%
40°C
$10 ปริมาณ
3%
41°C or higher
$10 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and major global models indicate a daytime maximum near 35°C in Tel Aviv on August 11, driven by persistent high-pressure subsidence, clear skies maximizing solar insolation, and light westerly or northerly flow that limits sea-breeze cooling. This places the outcome modestly above the August climatological average of 31–32°C while remaining well below extreme heatwave thresholds. Recent model runs show consistent guidance without significant spread in peak values, supporting trader convergence on the 34–36°C range as resolution probabilities. Updated short-range forecasts and any late adjustments to boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns represent the key variables that could shift the final observed high before market settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$566วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and major global models indicate a daytime maximum near 35°C in Tel Aviv on August 11, driven by persistent high-pressure subsidence, clear skies maximizing solar insolation, and light westerly or northerly flow that limits sea-breeze cooling. This places the outcome modestly above the August climatological average of 31–32°C while remaining well below extreme heatwave thresholds. Recent model runs show consistent guidance without significant spread in peak values, supporting trader convergence on the 34–36°C range as resolution probabilities. Updated short-range forecasts and any late adjustments to boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns represent the key variables that could shift the final observed high before market settlement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$566วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 11, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 9, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and major global models indicate a daytime maximum near 35°C in Tel Aviv on August 11, driven by persistent high-pressure subsidence, clear skies maximizing solar insolation, and light westerly or northerly flow that limits sea-breeze cooling. This places the outcome modestly above the August climatological average of 31–32°C while remaining well below extreme heatwave thresholds. Recent model runs show consistent guidance without significant spread in peak values, supporting trader convergence on the 34–36°C range as resolution probabilities. Updated short-range forecasts and any late adjustments to boundary-layer moisture or wind patterns represent the key variables that could shift the final observed high before market settlement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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