Recent forecasts for Qingdao indicate elevated temperatures on August 2 driven by a persistent subtropical high-pressure system over eastern China, promoting clear skies, subsidence, and reduced cloud cover that enhances surface heating. Coastal location moderates extremes via sea breezes, yet high humidity and light winds can trap heat, pushing daily maxima above the 29–31°C August climatological average. Official outlooks and model guidance show consensus around 32–35°C with upside potential to 36–37°C if afternoon land heating peaks without stronger onshore flow. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range, with 35–37°C outcomes commanding over 70% combined implied probability due to current warm anomalies and limited cooling mechanisms. Resolution hinges on the precise maximum recorded by local meteorological stations, where small shifts in timing or wind direction could differentiate the leading bins.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 2?
36°C 40%
35°C 31%
37°C 24%
38°C or higher 7%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
5%
35°C
31%
36°C
40%
37°C
24%
38°C or higher
7%
36°C 40%
35°C 31%
37°C 24%
38°C or higher 7%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
5%
35°C
31%
36°C
40%
37°C
24%
38°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jul 31, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Qingdao indicate elevated temperatures on August 2 driven by a persistent subtropical high-pressure system over eastern China, promoting clear skies, subsidence, and reduced cloud cover that enhances surface heating. Coastal location moderates extremes via sea breezes, yet high humidity and light winds can trap heat, pushing daily maxima above the 29–31°C August climatological average. Official outlooks and model guidance show consensus around 32–35°C with upside potential to 36–37°C if afternoon land heating peaks without stronger onshore flow. Trader sentiment reflects this narrow range, with 35–37°C outcomes commanding over 70% combined implied probability due to current warm anomalies and limited cooling mechanisms. Resolution hinges on the precise maximum recorded by local meteorological stations, where small shifts in timing or wind direction could differentiate the leading bins.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว


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