Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and ensemble models indicate a high in the upper 70s to low 80s for New York City on September 5, driven by a northerly wind shift that advected drier, cooler air after recent humid conditions with peaks near 84°F. Mostly sunny skies and light north-northwest winds of 5–10 mph are limiting afternoon heating, consistent with early-September climatology near 80°F. This setup underpins trader consensus for the 80–81°F bin at 57.5% implied probability, with 78–79°F and 82–83°F as secondary outcomes reflecting minor model spread on peak timing and boundary-layer mixing. The market aggregates skin-in-the-game assessments of these variables ahead of official LaGuardia Airport observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in NYC on September 5?
Highest temperature in NYC on September 5?
80-81°F 57%
78-79°F 23%
82-83°F 11%
76-77°F 9%
ใหม่
$19,549 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$19,549 ปริมาณ
Sep 5, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
9%
78-79°F
23%
80-81°F
57%
82-83°F
11%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 57%
78-79°F 23%
82-83°F 11%
76-77°F 9%
ใหม่
$19,549 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$19,549 ปริมาณ
Sep 5, 2026
69°F or below
$1,661 ปริมาณ
<1%
70-71°F
$174 ปริมาณ
<1%
72-73°F
$638 ปริมาณ
<1%
74-75°F
$1,150 ปริมาณ
3%
76-77°F
$2,861 ปริมาณ
9%
78-79°F
$4,136 ปริมาณ
23%
80-81°F
$3,786 ปริมาณ
57%
82-83°F
$2,564 ปริมาณ
11%
84-85°F
$1,154 ปริมาณ
2%
86-87°F
$1,306 ปริมาณ
<1%
88°F or higher
$120 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and ensemble models indicate a high in the upper 70s to low 80s for New York City on September 5, driven by a northerly wind shift that advected drier, cooler air after recent humid conditions with peaks near 84°F. Mostly sunny skies and light north-northwest winds of 5–10 mph are limiting afternoon heating, consistent with early-September climatology near 80°F. This setup underpins trader consensus for the 80–81°F bin at 57.5% implied probability, with 78–79°F and 82–83°F as secondary outcomes reflecting minor model spread on peak timing and boundary-layer mixing. The market aggregates skin-in-the-game assessments of these variables ahead of official LaGuardia Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 3, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,549วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 3, 2026, 2:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and ensemble models indicate a high in the upper 70s to low 80s for New York City on September 5, driven by a northerly wind shift that advected drier, cooler air after recent humid conditions with peaks near 84°F. Mostly sunny skies and light north-northwest winds of 5–10 mph are limiting afternoon heating, consistent with early-September climatology near 80°F. This setup underpins trader consensus for the 80–81°F bin at 57.5% implied probability, with 78–79°F and 82–83°F as secondary outcomes reflecting minor model spread on peak timing and boundary-layer mixing. The market aggregates skin-in-the-game assessments of these variables ahead of official LaGuardia Airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$19,549วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 3, 2026, 2:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and ensemble models indicate a high in the upper 70s to low 80s for New York City on September 5, driven by a northerly wind shift that advected drier, cooler air after recent humid conditions with peaks near 84°F. Mostly sunny skies and light north-northwest winds of 5–10 mph are limiting afternoon heating, consistent with early-September climatology near 80°F. This setup underpins trader consensus for the 80–81°F bin at 57.5% implied probability, with 78–79°F and 82–83°F as secondary outcomes reflecting minor model spread on peak timing and boundary-layer mixing. The market aggregates skin-in-the-game assessments of these variables ahead of official LaGuardia Airport observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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