**Forecast models from sources including the Hydrometeorological Center and global ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) indicate a maximum temperature of 14–16°C in Moscow on September 6, 2026, under cloudy skies with scattered showers and westerly winds of 3–8 m/s.** This setup limits daytime heating compared to the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 18.3°C for the date. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce solar insolation, keeping surface temperatures suppressed, while recent model runs show little divergence in peak values. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds aligns closely with this narrow range, as cooler-than-normal conditions driven by the current synoptic pattern make outcomes outside 14–16°C far less likely absent a rapid forecast shift.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Moscow on September 6?
15°C 44%
16°C 25%
14°C 22%
13°C 7%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
7%
14°C
22%
15°C
44%
16°C
25%
17°C
5%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 44%
16°C 25%
14°C 22%
13°C 7%
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
7%
14°C
22%
15°C
44%
16°C
25%
17°C
5%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 4, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources including the Hydrometeorological Center and global ensembles (GFS, ECMWF) indicate a maximum temperature of 14–16°C in Moscow on September 6, 2026, under cloudy skies with scattered showers and westerly winds of 3–8 m/s.** This setup limits daytime heating compared to the 1991–2020 climatological average high of 18.3°C for the date. Persistent cloud cover and precipitation reduce solar insolation, keeping surface temperatures suppressed, while recent model runs show little divergence in peak values. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds aligns closely with this narrow range, as cooler-than-normal conditions driven by the current synoptic pattern make outcomes outside 14–16°C far less likely absent a rapid forecast shift.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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