**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources points to a daily maximum near 32°C in Guangzhou on September 5, 2026, amid widespread cloud cover and thunderstorm activity that limits afternoon solar heating.** This aligns with the seasonal average high of 32.7°C for the date and explains the strong market-implied probability (88.5%) for a 34°C peak at the NOAA Baiyun Airport station. Thunderstorms, driven by high humidity and monsoon influences typical in early September, introduce cooling effects through reduced insolation and evaporative processes, keeping temperatures from climbing toward historical extremes like the 37.6°C record. Minor model spreads and brief clearing periods support the smaller probabilities for 35°C (10.5%), while lower outcomes remain negligible given current observations in the mid-20s°C rising toward the expected peak. Real-time station data throughout the day will finalize resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Guangzhou on September 5?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 5?
34°C 91%
35°C 9%
36°C <1%
37°C or higher <1%
$75,170 ปริมาณ
$75,170 ปริมาณ
Sep 5, 2026
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
91%
35°C
9%
36°C
1%
37°C or higher
<1%
34°C 91%
35°C 9%
36°C <1%
37°C or higher <1%
$75,170 ปริมาณ
$75,170 ปริมาณ
Sep 5, 2026
27°C or below
$565 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$2,662 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$3,826 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$3,662 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$9,698 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$10,271 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$11,366 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C
$6,741 ปริมาณ
91%
35°C
$13,197 ปริมาณ
9%
36°C
$9,501 ปริมาณ
1%
37°C or higher
$3,683 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources points to a daily maximum near 32°C in Guangzhou on September 5, 2026, amid widespread cloud cover and thunderstorm activity that limits afternoon solar heating.** This aligns with the seasonal average high of 32.7°C for the date and explains the strong market-implied probability (88.5%) for a 34°C peak at the NOAA Baiyun Airport station. Thunderstorms, driven by high humidity and monsoon influences typical in early September, introduce cooling effects through reduced insolation and evaporative processes, keeping temperatures from climbing toward historical extremes like the 37.6°C record. Minor model spreads and brief clearing periods support the smaller probabilities for 35°C (10.5%), while lower outcomes remain negligible given current observations in the mid-20s°C rising toward the expected peak. Real-time station data throughout the day will finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$75,170วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources points to a daily maximum near 32°C in Guangzhou on September 5, 2026, amid widespread cloud cover and thunderstorm activity that limits afternoon solar heating.** This aligns with the seasonal average high of 32.7°C for the date and explains the strong market-implied probability (88.5%) for a 34°C peak at the NOAA Baiyun Airport station. Thunderstorms, driven by high humidity and monsoon influences typical in early September, introduce cooling effects through reduced insolation and evaporative processes, keeping temperatures from climbing toward historical extremes like the 37.6°C record. Minor model spreads and brief clearing periods support the smaller probabilities for 35°C (10.5%), while lower outcomes remain negligible given current observations in the mid-20s°C rising toward the expected peak. Real-time station data throughout the day will finalize resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$75,170วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources points to a daily maximum near 32°C in Guangzhou on September 5, 2026, amid widespread cloud cover and thunderstorm activity that limits afternoon solar heating.** This aligns with the seasonal average high of 32.7°C for the date and explains the strong market-implied probability (88.5%) for a 34°C peak at the NOAA Baiyun Airport station. Thunderstorms, driven by high humidity and monsoon influences typical in early September, introduce cooling effects through reduced insolation and evaporative processes, keeping temperatures from climbing toward historical extremes like the 37.6°C record. Minor model spreads and brief clearing periods support the smaller probabilities for 35°C (10.5%), while lower outcomes remain negligible given current observations in the mid-20s°C rising toward the expected peak. Real-time station data throughout the day will finalize resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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