Traders see the 100–101°F bin leading at 36.5% because ensemble forecasts from NOAA and private models place Dallas’s August 3 daily maximum right around the long-term August average of 100°F. With no strong cold front or tropical moisture expected, abundant sunshine and light southerly flow should allow typical surface heating under a ridge of high pressure. Small differences among leading outcomes (98–99°F at 28.5%, 102–103°F at 22.5%) stem from minor uncertainties in afternoon cloud development, boundary-layer mixing depth, and exact dew-point values, which can shift peak temperatures by a degree or two. Historical climatology shows highs in this range occur frequently in early August, keeping the market tightly clustered around the most probable values.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Dallas on August 3?
Highest temperature in Dallas on August 3?
100-101°F 37%
98-99°F 29%
102-103°F 23%
96-97°F 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 3, 2026
95°F or below
1%
96-97°F
7%
98-99°F
29%
100-101°F
37%
102-103°F
23%
104-105°F
7%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
1%
110-111°F
1%
112-113°F
<1%
114°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 37%
98-99°F 29%
102-103°F 23%
96-97°F 7%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 3, 2026
95°F or below
$28 ปริมาณ
1%
96-97°F
$294 ปริมาณ
7%
98-99°F
$347 ปริมาณ
29%
100-101°F
$247 ปริมาณ
37%
102-103°F
$127 ปริมาณ
23%
104-105°F
$67 ปริมาณ
7%
106-107°F
$135 ปริมาณ
1%
108-109°F
$58 ปริมาณ
1%
110-111°F
$25 ปริมาณ
1%
112-113°F
$48 ปริมาณ
<1%
114°F or higher
$193 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the 100–101°F bin leading at 36.5% because ensemble forecasts from NOAA and private models place Dallas’s August 3 daily maximum right around the long-term August average of 100°F. With no strong cold front or tropical moisture expected, abundant sunshine and light southerly flow should allow typical surface heating under a ridge of high pressure. Small differences among leading outcomes (98–99°F at 28.5%, 102–103°F at 22.5%) stem from minor uncertainties in afternoon cloud development, boundary-layer mixing depth, and exact dew-point values, which can shift peak temperatures by a degree or two. Historical climatology shows highs in this range occur frequently in early August, keeping the market tightly clustered around the most probable values.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,570วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders see the 100–101°F bin leading at 36.5% because ensemble forecasts from NOAA and private models place Dallas’s August 3 daily maximum right around the long-term August average of 100°F. With no strong cold front or tropical moisture expected, abundant sunshine and light southerly flow should allow typical surface heating under a ridge of high pressure. Small differences among leading outcomes (98–99°F at 28.5%, 102–103°F at 22.5%) stem from minor uncertainties in afternoon cloud development, boundary-layer mixing depth, and exact dew-point values, which can shift peak temperatures by a degree or two. Historical climatology shows highs in this range occur frequently in early August, keeping the market tightly clustered around the most probable values.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,570วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the 100–101°F bin leading at 36.5% because ensemble forecasts from NOAA and private models place Dallas’s August 3 daily maximum right around the long-term August average of 100°F. With no strong cold front or tropical moisture expected, abundant sunshine and light southerly flow should allow typical surface heating under a ridge of high pressure. Small differences among leading outcomes (98–99°F at 28.5%, 102–103°F at 22.5%) stem from minor uncertainties in afternoon cloud development, boundary-layer mixing depth, and exact dew-point values, which can shift peak temperatures by a degree or two. Historical climatology shows highs in this range occur frequently in early August, keeping the market tightly clustered around the most probable values.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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