Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a peak temperature near 37°C for Chongqing on September 9, driven by lingering subtropical monsoon heat in the region's basin topography, which traps warmth and limits cooling. Historical data show early September highs often reach 35–40°C before seasonal decline sets in later in the month, with 2024 providing a recent analog of sustained elevated readings. Limited precipitation and stable high-pressure patterns support this range, while model runs cluster outcomes around 36–38°C. Traders weigh these atmospheric conditions and short-term forecast stability against typical variability in landfall timing or localized showers that could trim the daily maximum by 1–2°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chongqing on September 9?
37°C 45%
36°C 29%
38°C 17%
39°C 15%
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
5%
35°C
10%
36°C
29%
37°C
45%
38°C
17%
39°C
15%
40°C
14%
41°C or higher
3%
37°C 45%
36°C 29%
38°C 17%
39°C 15%
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
2%
33°C
1%
34°C
5%
35°C
10%
36°C
29%
37°C
45%
38°C
17%
39°C
15%
40°C
14%
41°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration indicate a peak temperature near 37°C for Chongqing on September 9, driven by lingering subtropical monsoon heat in the region's basin topography, which traps warmth and limits cooling. Historical data show early September highs often reach 35–40°C before seasonal decline sets in later in the month, with 2024 providing a recent analog of sustained elevated readings. Limited precipitation and stable high-pressure patterns support this range, while model runs cluster outcomes around 36–38°C. Traders weigh these atmospheric conditions and short-term forecast stability against typical variability in landfall timing or localized showers that could trim the daily maximum by 1–2°C.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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