Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Chicago on August 10 points to a daytime high near 82–84°F under a stagnant early-August pattern with moderate humidity and limited cloud cover. This drives the near-even split between 82–83°F (29%) and 84–85°F (28%) outcomes, as small differences in afternoon mixing, timing of any weak front, or solar heating can shift the peak by a degree or two. Ensemble forecasts show tight clustering around climatological normals of 83°F for the date, with low risk of extremes given current steering patterns and lack of strong advection. Traders weigh the latest short-range runs against historical analogs, noting that final resolution hinges on official observations the following day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chicago on August 10?
Highest temperature in Chicago on August 10?
82-83°F 28%
84-85°F 25%
86-87°F 21%
80-81°F 19%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 10, 2026
77°F or below
3%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
19%
82-83°F
28%
84-85°F
25%
86-87°F
21%
88-89°F
4%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 28%
84-85°F 25%
86-87°F 21%
80-81°F 19%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 10, 2026
77°F or below
$204 ปริมาณ
3%
78-79°F
$483 ปริมาณ
7%
80-81°F
$274 ปริมาณ
19%
82-83°F
$172 ปริมาณ
28%
84-85°F
$798 ปริมาณ
25%
86-87°F
$1,658 ปริมาณ
21%
88-89°F
$708 ปริมาณ
4%
90-91°F
$27 ปริมาณ
2%
92-93°F
$131 ปริมาณ
<1%
94-95°F
$355 ปริมาณ
<1%
96°F or higher
$583 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Chicago on August 10 points to a daytime high near 82–84°F under a stagnant early-August pattern with moderate humidity and limited cloud cover. This drives the near-even split between 82–83°F (29%) and 84–85°F (28%) outcomes, as small differences in afternoon mixing, timing of any weak front, or solar heating can shift the peak by a degree or two. Ensemble forecasts show tight clustering around climatological normals of 83°F for the date, with low risk of extremes given current steering patterns and lack of strong advection. Traders weigh the latest short-range runs against historical analogs, noting that final resolution hinges on official observations the following day.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 8, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,393วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 8, 2026, 9:04 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Chicago on August 10 points to a daytime high near 82–84°F under a stagnant early-August pattern with moderate humidity and limited cloud cover. This drives the near-even split between 82–83°F (29%) and 84–85°F (28%) outcomes, as small differences in afternoon mixing, timing of any weak front, or solar heating can shift the peak by a degree or two. Ensemble forecasts show tight clustering around climatological normals of 83°F for the date, with low risk of extremes given current steering patterns and lack of strong advection. Traders weigh the latest short-range runs against historical analogs, noting that final resolution hinges on official observations the following day.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,393วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 8, 2026, 9:04 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Chicago on August 10 points to a daytime high near 82–84°F under a stagnant early-August pattern with moderate humidity and limited cloud cover. This drives the near-even split between 82–83°F (29%) and 84–85°F (28%) outcomes, as small differences in afternoon mixing, timing of any weak front, or solar heating can shift the peak by a degree or two. Ensemble forecasts show tight clustering around climatological normals of 83°F for the date, with low risk of extremes given current steering patterns and lack of strong advection. Traders weigh the latest short-range runs against historical analogs, noting that final resolution hinges on official observations the following day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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