Official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau and real-time observations confirm peak temperatures reaching 33–34°C under sunny to partly cloudy skies on September 5, with low precipitation risk and light southerly winds. This aligns with the market's near-certain 34°C outcome, as September upper-level ridging has sustained warm advection across the Sichuan Basin, consistent with historical early-September maxima. Model consensus shows minimal deviation today, though any late-afternoon convective development or measurement adjustments at urban stations could shift the exact high by 1°C. Cooling and rainfall arrive after September 7, but today's stable high-pressure pattern locks in the current trader consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 5?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on September 5?
34°C 99.8%
35°C <1%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
$37,356 ปริมาณ
$37,356 ปริมาณ
Sep 5, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
100%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 99.8%
35°C <1%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
$37,356 ปริมาณ
$37,356 ปริมาณ
Sep 5, 2026
28°C or below
$1,156 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$2,114 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$879 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$1,636 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C
$3,751 ปริมาณ
<1%
33°C
$4,724 ปริมาณ
<1%
34°C
$7,076 ปริมาณ
100%
35°C
$5,907 ปริมาณ
<1%
36°C
$3,836 ปริมาณ
<1%
37°C
$1,409 ปริมาณ
<1%
38°C or higher
$4,868 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau and real-time observations confirm peak temperatures reaching 33–34°C under sunny to partly cloudy skies on September 5, with low precipitation risk and light southerly winds. This aligns with the market's near-certain 34°C outcome, as September upper-level ridging has sustained warm advection across the Sichuan Basin, consistent with historical early-September maxima. Model consensus shows minimal deviation today, though any late-afternoon convective development or measurement adjustments at urban stations could shift the exact high by 1°C. Cooling and rainfall arrive after September 7, but today's stable high-pressure pattern locks in the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$37,356วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau and real-time observations confirm peak temperatures reaching 33–34°C under sunny to partly cloudy skies on September 5, with low precipitation risk and light southerly winds. This aligns with the market's near-certain 34°C outcome, as September upper-level ridging has sustained warm advection across the Sichuan Basin, consistent with historical early-September maxima. Model consensus shows minimal deviation today, though any late-afternoon convective development or measurement adjustments at urban stations could shift the exact high by 1°C. Cooling and rainfall arrive after September 7, but today's stable high-pressure pattern locks in the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$37,356วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Chengdu Meteorological Bureau and real-time observations confirm peak temperatures reaching 33–34°C under sunny to partly cloudy skies on September 5, with low precipitation risk and light southerly winds. This aligns with the market's near-certain 34°C outcome, as September upper-level ridging has sustained warm advection across the Sichuan Basin, consistent with historical early-September maxima. Model consensus shows minimal deviation today, though any late-afternoon convective development or measurement adjustments at urban stations could shift the exact high by 1°C. Cooling and rainfall arrive after September 7, but today's stable high-pressure pattern locks in the current trader consensus.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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