**Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models position a peak temperature of 31–32 °C as the most probable outcome for Ankara on September 6.** Clear skies under a stable high-pressure ridge, light westerly to northwesterly winds, and low humidity are expected to allow strong daytime heating, with afternoon readings climbing from morning lows near 15 °C. Multiple deterministic runs and Turkish Meteorological Service guidance cluster around these values, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward 32 °C (56 %) and 31 °C (34 %). Model spread remains narrow, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind timing could still nudge the official maximum by 1 °C either way. Updated short-range guidance and the final hourly observations will determine the precise recorded high before market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Ankara on September 6?
32°C 55%
31°C 34%
33°C 11%
30°C 3%
$10,549 ปริมาณ
$10,549 ปริมาณ
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
34%
32°C
55%
33°C
11%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 55%
31°C 34%
33°C 11%
30°C 3%
$10,549 ปริมาณ
$10,549 ปริมาณ
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
3%
31°C
34%
32°C
55%
33°C
11%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Latest ensemble forecasts from global and regional models position a peak temperature of 31–32 °C as the most probable outcome for Ankara on September 6.** Clear skies under a stable high-pressure ridge, light westerly to northwesterly winds, and low humidity are expected to allow strong daytime heating, with afternoon readings climbing from morning lows near 15 °C. Multiple deterministic runs and Turkish Meteorological Service guidance cluster around these values, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward 32 °C (56 %) and 31 °C (34 %). Model spread remains narrow, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind timing could still nudge the official maximum by 1 °C either way. Updated short-range guidance and the final hourly observations will determine the precise recorded high before market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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