Redistricting has transformed California's 1st Congressional District into a solidly Democratic seat for the November 2026 general election, underpinning trader consensus around a 92.5% probability for the Democratic nominee. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the revised lines, which incorporate more urban and suburban areas in counties such as Butte and surrounding regions, as safe or solid Democratic territory based on voting patterns and partisan voting index metrics. The June 2026 special election, conducted on prior boundaries and won outright by Republican James Gallagher, does not alter the general election contest on the updated map. Factors that could still narrow the gap include significant national political shifts, stronger Republican candidate performance, or unusually high turnout among conservative voters in the remaining months before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-01 House Election Winner
CA-01 House Election Winner
$23,637 ปริมาณ
$23,637 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
5%
$23,637 ปริมาณ
$23,637 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$15,721 ปริมาณ
93%
Republican Party
$7,916 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting has transformed California's 1st Congressional District into a solidly Democratic seat for the November 2026 general election, underpinning trader consensus around a 92.5% probability for the Democratic nominee. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the revised lines, which incorporate more urban and suburban areas in counties such as Butte and surrounding regions, as safe or solid Democratic territory based on voting patterns and partisan voting index metrics. The June 2026 special election, conducted on prior boundaries and won outright by Republican James Gallagher, does not alter the general election contest on the updated map. Factors that could still narrow the gap include significant national political shifts, stronger Republican candidate performance, or unusually high turnout among conservative voters in the remaining months before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$23,637วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting has transformed California's 1st Congressional District into a solidly Democratic seat for the November 2026 general election, underpinning trader consensus around a 92.5% probability for the Democratic nominee. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the revised lines, which incorporate more urban and suburban areas in counties such as Butte and surrounding regions, as safe or solid Democratic territory based on voting patterns and partisan voting index metrics. The June 2026 special election, conducted on prior boundaries and won outright by Republican James Gallagher, does not alter the general election contest on the updated map. Factors that could still narrow the gap include significant national political shifts, stronger Republican candidate performance, or unusually high turnout among conservative voters in the remaining months before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$23,637วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting has transformed California's 1st Congressional District into a solidly Democratic seat for the November 2026 general election, underpinning trader consensus around a 92.5% probability for the Democratic nominee. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the revised lines, which incorporate more urban and suburban areas in counties such as Butte and surrounding regions, as safe or solid Democratic territory based on voting patterns and partisan voting index metrics. The June 2026 special election, conducted on prior boundaries and won outright by Republican James Gallagher, does not alter the general election contest on the updated map. Factors that could still narrow the gap include significant national political shifts, stronger Republican candidate performance, or unusually high turnout among conservative voters in the remaining months before Election Day.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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