Laura Friedman secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2, 2026, top-two primary for California’s 30th congressional district and now faces Republican Scott Meyers in the November general election. The district’s strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of roughly D+21, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 92.5 percent. Friedman’s primary performance, capturing over half the vote against a divided field, reinforces the incumbent advantage in a seat long held by Democrats. Forecasters across Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented swing in voter turnout or a late-breaking development such as a major scandal or health event affecting the frontrunner that alters the district’s established electoral math.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-30 House Election Winner
CA-30 House Election Winner
$12,742 ปริมาณ
$12,742 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$12,742 ปริมาณ
$12,742 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,114 ปริมาณ
93%
Republican Party
$6,627 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Laura Friedman secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2, 2026, top-two primary for California’s 30th congressional district and now faces Republican Scott Meyers in the November general election. The district’s strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of roughly D+21, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 92.5 percent. Friedman’s primary performance, capturing over half the vote against a divided field, reinforces the incumbent advantage in a seat long held by Democrats. Forecasters across Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented swing in voter turnout or a late-breaking development such as a major scandal or health event affecting the frontrunner that alters the district’s established electoral math.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,742วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Laura Friedman secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2, 2026, top-two primary for California’s 30th congressional district and now faces Republican Scott Meyers in the November general election. The district’s strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of roughly D+21, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 92.5 percent. Friedman’s primary performance, capturing over half the vote against a divided field, reinforces the incumbent advantage in a seat long held by Democrats. Forecasters across Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented swing in voter turnout or a late-breaking development such as a major scandal or health event affecting the frontrunner that alters the district’s established electoral math.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-30 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,742วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Laura Friedman secured the Democratic nomination in the June 2, 2026, top-two primary for California’s 30th congressional district and now faces Republican Scott Meyers in the November general election. The district’s strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its Cook Partisan Voting Index of roughly D+21, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 92.5 percent. Friedman’s primary performance, capturing over half the vote against a divided field, reinforces the incumbent advantage in a seat long held by Democrats. Forecasters across Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented swing in voter turnout or a late-breaking development such as a major scandal or health event affecting the frontrunner that alters the district’s established electoral math.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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