The Missouri 6th congressional district's strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+13 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent presidential and House contests, anchors trader expectations of a Republican general election victory. Sam Graves's retirement created an open seat, drawing a crowded Republican primary field of business owners, a pastor, and state-level figures, while Democrats field a smaller slate including a transportation security officer and an architect. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, and the August 4 primaries plus November 3 general election timeline leave limited room for late shifts. A surprise Democratic primary surge or major Republican primary scandal could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability given the district's voting history and structural advantages.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMO-06 House Election Winner
$30,895 ปริมาณ
$30,895 ปริมาณ
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
7%
$30,895 ปริมาณ
$30,895 ปริมาณ
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
7%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Missouri 6th congressional district's strong Republican tilt, reflected in its R+13 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent presidential and House contests, anchors trader expectations of a Republican general election victory. Sam Graves's retirement created an open seat, drawing a crowded Republican primary field of business owners, a pastor, and state-level figures, while Democrats field a smaller slate including a transportation security officer and an architect. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, and the August 4 primaries plus November 3 general election timeline leave limited room for late shifts. A surprise Democratic primary surge or major Republican primary scandal could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability given the district's voting history and structural advantages.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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