Australian politics remains highly fluid more than two years before the next federal election, due by September 2028, with recent polling showing a fragmented primary vote among Labor, One Nation, and the Coalition amid weak net approvals for Anthony Albanese and Angus Taylor. This volatility, combined with the preferential voting system and potential for a hung parliament or crossbench influence, sustains tight implied probabilities across multiple candidates in trader consensus. Recent surveys indicate One Nation gaining ground in some metrics while the Coalition trails at historic lows, leaving room for shifts from leadership reviews, policy responses to cost-of-living pressures, or changes in voter preferences before preselection and campaign dynamics take shape.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วWho will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?
Anthony Albanese 40%
Angus Taylor 20%
Pauline Hanson 16%
Jim Chalmers 5.9%
$16,759 ปริมาณ
$16,759 ปริมาณ
Sep 23, 2028
Anthony Albanese
40%
Angus Taylor
20%
Pauline Hanson
16%
Jim Chalmers
6%
Robbie Katter
1%
Larissa Waters
1%
Anthony Albanese 40%
Angus Taylor 20%
Pauline Hanson 16%
Jim Chalmers 5.9%
$16,759 ปริมาณ
$16,759 ปริมาณ
Sep 23, 2028
Anthony Albanese
$1,568 ปริมาณ
40%
Angus Taylor
$2,059 ปริมาณ
20%
Pauline Hanson
$11,433 ปริมาณ
16%
Jim Chalmers
$820 ปริมาณ
6%
Robbie Katter
$391 ปริมาณ
1%
Larissa Waters
$487 ปริมาณ
1%
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Australian politics remains highly fluid more than two years before the next federal election, due by September 2028, with recent polling showing a fragmented primary vote among Labor, One Nation, and the Coalition amid weak net approvals for Anthony Albanese and Angus Taylor. This volatility, combined with the preferential voting system and potential for a hung parliament or crossbench influence, sustains tight implied probabilities across multiple candidates in trader consensus. Recent surveys indicate One Nation gaining ground in some metrics while the Coalition trails at historic lows, leaving room for shifts from leadership reviews, policy responses to cost-of-living pressures, or changes in voter preferences before preselection and campaign dynamics take shape.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 10, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,759วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 23, 2028ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 10, 2026, 1:56 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Australian politics remains highly fluid more than two years before the next federal election, due by September 2028, with recent polling showing a fragmented primary vote among Labor, One Nation, and the Coalition amid weak net approvals for Anthony Albanese and Angus Taylor. This volatility, combined with the preferential voting system and potential for a hung parliament or crossbench influence, sustains tight implied probabilities across multiple candidates in trader consensus. Recent surveys indicate One Nation gaining ground in some metrics while the Coalition trails at historic lows, leaving room for shifts from leadership reviews, policy responses to cost-of-living pressures, or changes in voter preferences before preselection and campaign dynamics take shape.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Australia by September 23, 2028.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Australia following the 2028 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by June 30, 2029, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$16,759วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 23, 2028ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 10, 2026, 1:56 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Australian politics remains highly fluid more than two years before the next federal election, due by September 2028, with recent polling showing a fragmented primary vote among Labor, One Nation, and the Coalition amid weak net approvals for Anthony Albanese and Angus Taylor. This volatility, combined with the preferential voting system and potential for a hung parliament or crossbench influence, sustains tight implied probabilities across multiple candidates in trader consensus. Recent surveys indicate One Nation gaining ground in some metrics while the Coalition trails at historic lows, leaving room for shifts from leadership reviews, policy responses to cost-of-living pressures, or changes in voter preferences before preselection and campaign dynamics take shape.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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