Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren secured her party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with over 54 percent of the vote against a divided field, advancing to face Republican Shane Lewis in the November general election. The district's consistent Democratic voting patterns, reflected in Lofgren's prior reelection margins above 60 percent, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. As a long-serving representative with deep local ties, Lofgren benefits from incumbency advantages including name recognition and fundraising. A late scandal, significant health event, or unanticipated national political shift could narrow the gap, though historical results and current primary data indicate limited pathways for Republican gains in this seat.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วCA-18 House Election Winner
CA-18 House Election Winner
$38,788 ปริมาณ
$38,788 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
2%
$38,788 ปริมาณ
$38,788 ปริมาณ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$19,694 ปริมาณ
94%
Republican Party
$19,094 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren secured her party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with over 54 percent of the vote against a divided field, advancing to face Republican Shane Lewis in the November general election. The district's consistent Democratic voting patterns, reflected in Lofgren's prior reelection margins above 60 percent, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. As a long-serving representative with deep local ties, Lofgren benefits from incumbency advantages including name recognition and fundraising. A late scandal, significant health event, or unanticipated national political shift could narrow the gap, though historical results and current primary data indicate limited pathways for Republican gains in this seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$38,788วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren secured her party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with over 54 percent of the vote against a divided field, advancing to face Republican Shane Lewis in the November general election. The district's consistent Democratic voting patterns, reflected in Lofgren's prior reelection margins above 60 percent, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. As a long-serving representative with deep local ties, Lofgren benefits from incumbency advantages including name recognition and fundraising. A late scandal, significant health event, or unanticipated national political shift could narrow the gap, though historical results and current primary data indicate limited pathways for Republican gains in this seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$38,788วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Zoe Lofgren secured her party's nomination in the June 2026 primary with over 54 percent of the vote against a divided field, advancing to face Republican Shane Lewis in the November general election. The district's consistent Democratic voting patterns, reflected in Lofgren's prior reelection margins above 60 percent, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. As a long-serving representative with deep local ties, Lofgren benefits from incumbency advantages including name recognition and fundraising. A late scandal, significant health event, or unanticipated national political shift could narrow the gap, though historical results and current primary data indicate limited pathways for Republican gains in this seat.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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