**Strong polling support and successful navigation of Virginia's constitutional amendment process underpin the 90.5% implied probability for passage of the Right to Reproductive Freedom Amendment on November 3, 2026.** The measure, which would add a fundamental right to reproductive freedom—including decisions on abortion, contraception, prenatal care, and fertility treatments—while permitting third-trimester regulations except to protect health or viability, cleared the required majorities in both chambers across successive legislative sessions in 2025 and early 2026 under Democratic control. Multiple early 2026 polls showed 61–66% voter backing, with legal challenges to the referral process dismissed in July 2026. Virginia's existing framework allowing abortion through the second trimester, combined with sustained public support for codifying protections, has sustained trader consensus ahead of the general election ballot.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПройдет ли поправка о защите абортов в Вирджинии?
Пройдет ли поправка о защите абортов в Вирджинии?
Да
91% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Да
91% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Virginia voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment which, if passed, would establish a constitutional right to reproductive freedom in the state.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.”
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).**Strong polling support and successful navigation of Virginia's constitutional amendment process underpin the 90.5% implied probability for passage of the Right to Reproductive Freedom Amendment on November 3, 2026.**
The measure, which would add a fundamental right to reproductive freedom—including decisions on abortion, contraception, prenatal care, and fertility treatments—while permitting third-trimester regulations except to protect health or viability, cleared the required majorities in both chambers across successive legislative sessions in 2025 and early 2026 under Democratic control. Multiple early 2026 polls showed 61–66% voter backing, with legal challenges to the referral process dismissed in July 2026. Virginia's existing framework allowing abortion through the second trimester, combined with sustained public support for codifying protections, has sustained trader consensus ahead of the general election ballot.
Virginia voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment which, if passed, would establish a constitutional right to reproductive freedom in the state.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.”
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.”
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).
Открытие рынка: Mar 2, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Объем
$1,542Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 2, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Virginia voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment which, if passed, would establish a constitutional right to reproductive freedom in the state.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.”
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).**Strong polling support and successful navigation of Virginia's constitutional amendment process underpin the 90.5% implied probability for passage of the Right to Reproductive Freedom Amendment on November 3, 2026.**
The measure, which would add a fundamental right to reproductive freedom—including decisions on abortion, contraception, prenatal care, and fertility treatments—while permitting third-trimester regulations except to protect health or viability, cleared the required majorities in both chambers across successive legislative sessions in 2025 and early 2026 under Democratic control. Multiple early 2026 polls showed 61–66% voter backing, with legal challenges to the referral process dismissed in July 2026. Virginia's existing framework allowing abortion through the second trimester, combined with sustained public support for codifying protections, has sustained trader consensus ahead of the general election ballot.
Virginia voters are scheduled to vote in the November 3, 2026 midterm elections on a constitutional amendment which, if passed, would establish a constitutional right to reproductive freedom in the state.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.”
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Virginia Right to Reproductive Freedom constitutional amendment passes according to Virginia election procedure. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
If this constitutional amendment is removed from the November 3, 2026 ballot in Virginia, this market will resolve immediately to “No.”
If, for any reason, the results of this vote are not known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the vote according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results reported by the Commonwealth of Virginia, specifically the Virginia Department of Elections (https://www.elections.virginia.gov/results/).
Объем
$1,542Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 2, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Strong polling support and successful navigation of Virginia's constitutional amendment process underpin the 90.5% implied probability for passage of the Right to Reproductive Freedom Amendment on November 3, 2026.** The measure, which would add a fundamental right to reproductive freedom—including decisions on abortion, contraception, prenatal care, and fertility treatments—while permitting third-trimester regulations except to protect health or viability, cleared the required majorities in both chambers across successive legislative sessions in 2025 and early 2026 under Democratic control. Multiple early 2026 polls showed 61–66% voter backing, with legal challenges to the referral process dismissed in July 2026. Virginia's existing framework allowing abortion through the second trimester, combined with sustained public support for codifying protections, has sustained trader consensus ahead of the general election ballot.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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