Recent U.S.-Venezuela energy agreements have positioned Venezuelan heavy crude as a potential feedstock for refilling the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, currently holding roughly 290 million barrels or about 40% of capacity near multi-decade lows after prior releases. Energy Secretary Chris Wright outlined a swap mechanism whereby U.S. companies would exchange dense, high-sulfur Venezuelan grades for lighter or medium domestic crude compatible with SPR caverns, avoiding direct storage challenges. Administration statements indicate possible deliveries as early as November, though ramping production from the 65-billion-barrel concession fields requires substantial infrastructure investment and time. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty around execution timelines, crude quality mismatches, and any policy shifts amid broader monetary policy and inventory dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНОВОЕ
31 дек. 2026 г.
30 сентября
3%
31 декабря
14%
$1,910 Объем
30 сентября
$856 Объем
3%
31 декабря
$1,053 Объем
14%
On August 28, 2026, the United States and Venezuela announced an oil deal granting the United States access to Venezuela's crude oil reserves.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify.
The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent U.S.-Venezuela energy agreements have positioned Venezuelan heavy crude as a potential feedstock for refilling the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, currently holding roughly 290 million barrels or about 40% of capacity near multi-decade lows after prior releases. Energy Secretary Chris Wright outlined a swap mechanism whereby U.S. companies would exchange dense, high-sulfur Venezuelan grades for lighter or medium domestic crude compatible with SPR caverns, avoiding direct storage challenges. Administration statements indicate possible deliveries as early as November, though ramping production from the 65-billion-barrel concession fields requires substantial infrastructure investment and time. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty around execution timelines, crude quality mismatches, and any policy shifts amid broader monetary policy and inventory dynamics.
On August 28, 2026, the United States and Venezuela announced an oil deal granting the United States access to Venezuela's crude oil reserves.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify.
The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify.
The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Sep 2, 2026, 2:16 PM ET
Объем
$1,910Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 2:16 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...On August 28, 2026, the United States and Venezuela announced an oil deal granting the United States access to Venezuela's crude oil reserves.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify.
The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.Recent U.S.-Venezuela energy agreements have positioned Venezuelan heavy crude as a potential feedstock for refilling the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, currently holding roughly 290 million barrels or about 40% of capacity near multi-decade lows after prior releases. Energy Secretary Chris Wright outlined a swap mechanism whereby U.S. companies would exchange dense, high-sulfur Venezuelan grades for lighter or medium domestic crude compatible with SPR caverns, avoiding direct storage challenges. Administration statements indicate possible deliveries as early as November, though ramping production from the 65-billion-barrel concession fields requires substantial infrastructure investment and time. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty around execution timelines, crude quality mismatches, and any policy shifts amid broader monetary policy and inventory dynamics.
On August 28, 2026, the United States and Venezuela announced an oil deal granting the United States access to Venezuela's crude oil reserves.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify.
The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify.
The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$1,910Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 2, 2026, 2:16 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S.-Venezuela energy agreements have positioned Venezuelan heavy crude as a potential feedstock for refilling the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, currently holding roughly 290 million barrels or about 40% of capacity near multi-decade lows after prior releases. Energy Secretary Chris Wright outlined a swap mechanism whereby U.S. companies would exchange dense, high-sulfur Venezuelan grades for lighter or medium domestic crude compatible with SPR caverns, avoiding direct storage challenges. Administration statements indicate possible deliveries as early as November, though ramping production from the 65-billion-barrel concession fields requires substantial infrastructure investment and time. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty around execution timelines, crude quality mismatches, and any policy shifts amid broader monetary policy and inventory dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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