Ken Sim holds the lead in trader consensus for the October 17 Vancouver mayoral election, supported by stronger backing among homeowners and a still-fragmented opposition despite some progressive consolidation. Recent polls from July and August showed mixed results, with Pete Fry occasionally ahead or tied among all respondents amid 25-34% undecided voters and Sim’s underwater approval ratings, yet Sim leading among decided voters. Withdrawals by COPE’s Stephanie Allen and OneCity’s William Azaroff in early September have reduced left-side splitting in favor of Green candidate Fry, but centrists including Vancouver Liberals’ Kareem Allam, TEAM’s Colleen Hardwick, and Vote Vancouver’s Rebecca Bligh remain active. This dynamic, combined with Sim’s ABC base and the crowded field, underpins the current implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКен Сим 54%
Пит Фрай 35.0%
Карим Аллам 9%
Стефани Аллен 1.7%
$194,173 Объем
$194,173 Объем

Кен Сим
54%

Пит Фрай
35%

Карим Аллам
9%

Стефани Аллен
2%

Колин Хардуик
1%

Джон Купар
1%

Уильям Азарофф
1%

Кирк ЛаПойнт
1%

Фред Хардинг
1%

Ребекка Блай
1%

Аманда Бэрроуз
1%

Шон Орр
<1%

Тим Луис
<1%
Кен Сим 54%
Пит Фрай 35.0%
Карим Аллам 9%
Стефани Аллен 1.7%
$194,173 Объем
$194,173 Объем

Кен Сим
54%

Пит Фрай
35%

Карим Аллам
9%

Стефани Аллен
2%

Колин Хардуик
1%

Джон Купар
1%

Уильям Азарофф
1%

Кирк ЛаПойнт
1%

Фред Хардинг
1%

Ребекка Блай
1%

Аманда Бэрроуз
1%

Шон Орр
<1%

Тим Луис
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Открытие рынка: Apr 2, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Ken Sim holds the lead in trader consensus for the October 17 Vancouver mayoral election, supported by stronger backing among homeowners and a still-fragmented opposition despite some progressive consolidation. Recent polls from July and August showed mixed results, with Pete Fry occasionally ahead or tied among all respondents amid 25-34% undecided voters and Sim’s underwater approval ratings, yet Sim leading among decided voters. Withdrawals by COPE’s Stephanie Allen and OneCity’s William Azaroff in early September have reduced left-side splitting in favor of Green candidate Fry, but centrists including Vancouver Liberals’ Kareem Allam, TEAM’s Colleen Hardwick, and Vote Vancouver’s Rebecca Bligh remain active. This dynamic, combined with Sim’s ABC base and the crowded field, underpins the current implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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